Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Teixeira G.
Penalty Missed
29'
29'
Boloto
41'
41'
Franca F.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Varzim and Braga B finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varzim.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Braga B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Varzim carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Varzim Clean Sheet 17%
Braga B Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Varzim | Braga B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 7, 2025 Liga 3
Varzim vs Braga B
3:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga 3
Braga B vs Varzim
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 Liga 3
Varzim vs Braga B
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Liga 3
Braga B vs Varzim
0:0
Apr 13, 2024 Liga 3
Braga B vs Varzim
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Varzim Compare
Top Goalscorer Vila Cova M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Franca F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Braga B Compare
Top Goalscorer Goncalves J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Varzim 36 / 100
Braga B 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Varzim Braga B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Braga B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Varzim scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Braga B let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Varzim stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Varzim VS Braga B
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Varzim
(Home) 19 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
2 : 1 Varzim
12 Sept
Varzim
1 : 2 SC Vianense
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1 Paredes
29 Aug
Varzim
5 : 1 Trofense
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4 Varzim
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Varzim
1 : 2 SC Vianense
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1 Paredes
29 Aug
Varzim
5 : 1 Trofense
16 Aug
Varzim
2 : 1 AD Marco 09
02 Aug
Varzim
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes
Page 1 of 3
Braga B
(Away) 13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4 Braga B
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2 CDC Montalegre
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0 Braga B
16 Aug
Braga B
2 : 1 Maia Lidador
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2 Braga B
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4 Braga B
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0 Braga B
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2 Braga B
25 Jul
Vizela
2 : 3 Braga B
18 Jul
Lusitania FC
0 : 2 Braga B
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20:16 | 29 |
| 2 | Amarante FC | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 29 |
| 3 | Trofense | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 4 | Varzim | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Paredes | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 22:12 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga B | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16:17 | 25 |
| 7 | AD Fafe | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 23:21 | 24 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11:26 | 14 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20:32 | 13 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 38 |
| 2 | Mafra | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 28:19 | 34 |
| 3 | Academica | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 29:18 | 28 |
| 4 | Santarem | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15:14 | 25 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:17 | 22 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Amora | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Caldas SC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17:23 | 21 |
| 9 | 1º Dezembro | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | 17 |
| 10 | Covilha | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10:24 | 14 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
