Sport Picks
Varzim vs CF Os Belenenses
Portugal
Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio do Varzim SC, Póvoa de Varzim 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Varzim and CF Os Belenenses finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Os Belenenses.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and CF Os Belenenses come out ahead of Varzim on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Varzim | CF Os Belenenses |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Varzim Compare
CF Os Belenenses Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Varzim's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: CF Os Belenenses conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Varzim went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Varzim
(Home)CF Os Belenenses
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amarante FC | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 31 |
| 2 | Academica | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 23:13 | 28 |
| 3 | CF Os Belenenses | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:16 | 26 |
| 4 | Mafra | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:17 | 17 |
| 6 | Varzim | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13:19 | 14 |
| 7 | Santarem | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 8 | Trofense | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7:16 | 10 |