Sport Picks
Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 Estádio do Varzim SC, Póvoa de Varzim 
AI Match Summary
Varzim host Vitoria Guimaraes B in the Liga 3. This one's hard to separate. Varzim have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Vitoria Guimaraes B's 1.24 scored and 1.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Varzim have won 1 to Vitoria Guimaraes B's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.00) back Vitoria Guimaraes B to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Vitoria Guimaraes B at 1.24 per game, Varzim at 1.2.
- Model gives Varzim a 44% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Varzim | Vitoria Guimaraes B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Varzim found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Vitoria Guimaraes B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Varzim went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Varzim
(Home)Vitoria Guimaraes B
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Leca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 5 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 6 | SC Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Santarem | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 8 | Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | 1 |
