Sport Picks

Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio do Varzim SC

Varzim

2 - 2

Vitoria Guimaraes B

Our Tip

Match Events

30'

Rebelo M.

34'

Opara E.

Assist: Nunes H.

45'

Opara E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Varzim

33%

Draws

27%

Vitoria Guimaraes B

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Varzim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Varzim haven't matched Vitoria Guimaraes B's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Varzim's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Varzim Clean Sheet 68%

Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Varzim	Vitoria Guimaraes B
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	9	11
Draws	9	9
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	0.88	1
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga 3

Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes B

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 0 - 2

2:2

Feb 28, 2026 Liga 3

Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Varzim

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Jan 11, 2026 Liga 3

Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Varzim

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Oct 4, 2025 Liga 3

Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes B

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Feb 19, 2023 Liga 3

Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Varzim

Possession: 54% - 60% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varzim Compare

Top Goalscorer Rebelo M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Chamito

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Vitoria Guimaraes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Opara E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varzim 50 / 100

Vitoria Guimaraes B 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Varzim Vitoria Guimaraes B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Varzim scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Vitoria Guimaraes B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Varzim remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varzim VS Vitoria Guimaraes B

0.88 Goals Scored 1

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Amarante FC	14	9	4	1	22:11	31
2	Academica	14	8	4	2	23:13	28
3	CF Os Belenenses	14	7	5	2	25:16	26
4	Mafra	14	5	2	7	17:24	17
5	Vitoria Guimaraes B	14	4	5	5	16:17	17
6	Varzim	14	4	2	8	13:19	14
7	Santarem	14	2	4	8	13:20	10
8	Trofense	14	2	4	8	7:16	10