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Varzim vs Vizela

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Sun, Jul 20, 2025
2 - 3
03:00 PM
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Match Events

52' Event
Filipe L.
78' Event
Freitas R.
90' Event
Candundu Q.

AI Match Summary

Vizela in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vizela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Varzim
22%
Draws
18%
Vizela
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Varzim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Varzim average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Vizela's 0.25.
  • Varzim are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vizela have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Varzim Clean Sheet 68%
Vizela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varzim Vizela
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.14 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Varzim vs Vizela
2:3
Apr 24, 2021 Liga Portugal 2
Varzim vs Vizela
0:3
Dec 29, 2020 Liga Portugal 2
Vizela vs Varzim
1:0
May 21, 2017 Liga Portugal 2
Varzim vs Vizela
0:3
Jan 7, 2017 Liga Portugal 2
Vizela vs Varzim
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varzim Compare

Top Goalscorer Filipe L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Freitas R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vizela Compare

Top Goalscorer Candundu Q.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varzim 68 / 100
Vizela 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varzim Vizela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Varzim scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Vizela let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Vizela has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varzim VS Vizela
1 Goals Scored 0.25
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.88
43% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varzim

(Home)
29 Jul
Tirsense
0 : 1
Varzim
15 Jul
Tondela
1 : 0
Varzim
16 May
Santarem
2 : 2
Varzim
10 May
Varzim
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
03 May
Academica
1 : 0
Varzim
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Vizela

(Away)
29 Jul
Leixoes
3 : 2
Vizela
25 Jul
Vizela
2 : 3
Braga B
18 Jul
Vizela
1 : 0
Chaves
14 Jul
Vizela
0 : 5
Braga
11 Jul
Vizela
0 : 3
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