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Varzim W vs Ouriense W Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 Estádio do Varzim SC, Póvoa de Varzim
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ouriense W in this Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ouriense W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Varzim W
30%
Draws
12%
Ouriense W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varzim W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ouriense W have won more games recently than Varzim W.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Varzim W taking it.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Varzim W Clean Sheet 20%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varzim W Ouriense W
Matches Played 23 32
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 0.91 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.39 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Varzim W vs Ouriense W
0:2
Jan 2, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Varzim W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varzim W 76 / 100
Ouriense W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varzim W Ouriense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varzim W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ouriense W has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Varzim W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Ouriense W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ouriense W
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Varzim W

(Home)
05 Jun
Estoril Praia W
2 : 0
Varzim W
29 May
Varzim W
3 : 1
Estoril Praia W
22 May
Atletico CP W
3 : 0
Varzim W
15 May
Varzim W
4 : 4
Amora W
08 May
Condeixa W
2 : 2
Varzim W
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Ouriense W

(Away)
11 May
Ouriense W
0 : 2
Vilaverdense W
05 May
Ouriense W
0 : 3
Sporting W
28 Apr
Ouriense W
2 : 2
Braga W
13 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Ouriense W
24 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 3
Torreense W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amora W 14 12 1 1 53:22 37
2 Valadares Gaia W 14 11 1 2 33:10 34
3 Ouriense W 14 9 1 4 26:17 28
4 Condeixa W 14 6 2 6 28:21 20
5 Gil Vicente W 14 5 1 8 15:36 16
6 Estoril Praia W 14 2 4 8 10:17 10
7 Varzim W 14 2 3 9 15:29 9
8 Atletico CP W 14 2 1 11 17:45 7
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 (Relegation)