Sport Picks

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Varzim W vs Valadares Gaia W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 Estádio do Varzim SC, Póvoa de Varzim
Varzim W Logo

Varzim W

1 - 2
FT
Valadares Gaia W Logo

Valadares Gaia W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Valadares Gaia W in this Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valadares Gaia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Varzim W
20%
Draws
44%
Valadares Gaia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valadares Gaia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Varzim W haven't matched Valadares Gaia W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Valadares Gaia W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Varzim W Clean Sheet 19%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varzim W Valadares Gaia W
Matches Played 23 32
Wins 4 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.91 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Varzim W vs Valadares Gaia W
1:2
Jan 16, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Varzim W
2:0
Sep 5, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Varzim W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varzim W 31 / 100
Valadares Gaia W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varzim W Valadares Gaia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varzim W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Valadares Gaia W conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Varzim W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Valadares Gaia W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valadares Gaia W
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varzim W

(Home)
05 Jun
Estoril Praia W
2 : 0
Varzim W
29 May
Varzim W
3 : 1
Estoril Praia W
22 May
Atletico CP W
3 : 0
Varzim W
15 May
Varzim W
4 : 4
Amora W
08 May
Condeixa W
2 : 2
Varzim W
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Valadares Gaia W

(Away)
26 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 0
Rio Ave W
20 Sept
Racing Power W
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia W
12 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
FC Porto W
29 Aug
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 2
Braga W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amora W 14 12 1 1 53:22 37
2 Valadares Gaia W 14 11 1 2 33:10 34
3 Ouriense W 14 9 1 4 26:17 28
4 Condeixa W 14 6 2 6 28:21 20
5 Gil Vicente W 14 5 1 8 15:36 16
6 Estoril Praia W 14 2 4 8 10:17 10
7 Varzim W 14 2 3 9 15:29 9
8 Atletico CP W 14 2 1 11 17:45 7
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 (Relegation)