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Varzim W vs Valadares Gaia W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 Estádio do Varzim SC
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AI Match Summary

Valadares Gaia W in this Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valadares Gaia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Varzim W
20%
Draws
38%
Valadares Gaia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varzim W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Varzim W haven't matched Valadares Gaia W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Varzim W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Valadares Gaia W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Varzim W Clean Sheet 14%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varzim W Valadares Gaia W
Matches Played 23 44
Wins 4 24
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Varzim W vs Valadares Gaia W
1:2
Jan 16, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Varzim W
2:0
Sep 5, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Varzim W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varzim W 41 / 100
Valadares Gaia W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varzim W Valadares Gaia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Varzim W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Valadares Gaia W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Varzim W scored in 48% of their last 23 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valadares Gaia W
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amora W14121153:2237
2Valadares Gaia W14111233:1034
3Ouriense W1491426:1728
4Condeixa W1462628:2120
5Gil Vicente W1451815:3616
6Estoril Praia W1424810:1710
7Varzim W1423915:299
8Atletico CP W14211117:457