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Vasalund vs FC Jarfalla Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Skytteholms IP, Solna
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Khalil A.
19' Event
Dejene M.
Assist: Bilgec B.
46'
Sub
Gentele T. In: Vucenovic M.
Out: Gentele T.

AI Match Summary

Vasalund in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vasalund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vasalund
20%
Draws
40%
FC Jarfalla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vasalund lately — more wins on the board than FC Jarfalla.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 11%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasalund FC Jarfalla
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.41 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs FC Jarfalla
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasalund Compare

Top Goalscorer Amos P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dejene M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

FC Jarfalla Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalil A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasalund 35 / 100
FC Jarfalla 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasalund FC Jarfalla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Jarfalla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vasalund scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

FC Jarfalla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: FC Jarfalla has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasalund VS FC Jarfalla
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasalund

(Home)
27 Sept
Gefle
0 : 1
Vasalund
21 Sept
Vasalund
1 : 5
Assyriska FF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0
Hammarby TFF
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
Vasalund
06 Sept
Vasalund
2 : 3
Enkopings SK
Page 1 of 6

FC Jarfalla

(Away)
03 Oct
IFK Stocksund
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
26 Sept
FC Jarfalla
2 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
3 Hammarby TFF 24 13 6 5 50:23 45
4 FC Arlanda 24 13 6 5 42:27 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
10 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
11 Umea FC 24 8 5 11 32:40 29
12 Vasalund 24 7 6 11 35:48 27
13 Sollentuna 25 5 9 11 24:36 24
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 25 3 6 16 45:61 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)