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Vasalund vs Karlstad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Skytteholms IP, Solna
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vasalund host Karlstad in the Division 1 - Norra. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Vasalund at 1.46 goals for, 2.04 against; Karlstad at 1.62 for, 0.97 against. Head-to-head, Vasalund have won 1 to Karlstad's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.94) back Karlstad to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Vasalund
35%
Draws
38%
Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Karlstad have won more games recently than Vasalund.
  • Karlstad are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Karlstad here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 10%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasalund Karlstad
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.46 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.04 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Vasalund
5:0
Aug 24, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Vasalund
2:3
Jun 8, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Karlstad
1:3
Aug 11, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Vasalund
2:0
Apr 27, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Karlstad
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasalund 10 / 100
Karlstad 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasalund Karlstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasalund found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Karlstad conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Vasalund has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vasalund VS Karlstad
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasalund

(Home)
10 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 3
Vasalund
04 Oct
Vasalund
1 : 4
FC Arlanda
27 Sept
Gefle
0 : 1
Vasalund
21 Sept
Vasalund
1 : 5
Assyriska FF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0
Hammarby TFF
Page 1 of 6

Karlstad

(Away)
10 Oct
Karlstad
3 : 0
FC Arlanda
03 Oct
Pitea
1 : 1
Karlstad
27 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 1
Karlbergs
19 Sept
Enkopings SK
2 : 2
Karlstad
16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0
FBK Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 27 19 4 4 64:22 61
2 FC Arlanda 27 14 6 7 47:34 48
3 Enkopings SK 27 15 3 9 42:41 48
4 AFC Eskilstuna 26 14 5 7 48:37 47
5 FBK Karlstad 27 13 7 7 44:37 46
6 Hammarby TFF 26 13 6 7 51:26 45
7 Karlstad 26 12 8 6 40:25 44
8 Assyriska FF 26 10 5 11 44:45 35
9 Umea FC 26 10 5 11 36:42 35
10 Karlbergs 27 9 6 12 37:47 33
11 Gefle 27 9 5 13 33:47 32
12 Vasalund 26 7 7 12 39:55 28
13 Sollentuna 26 6 9 11 27:36 27
14 Pitea 26 5 8 13 33:49 23
15 FC Jarfalla 27 6 4 17 37:58 22
16 IFK Stocksund 27 3 6 18 46:67 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)