Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasalund vs Pitea

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Skytteholms IP
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vasalund play Pitea in the Division 1 - Norra. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vasalund averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. Pitea averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Vasalund won 2, Pitea won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Vasalund and 1.69 for Pitea. This points to a Vasalund double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vasalund
15%
Draws
42%
Pitea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasalund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasalund picked up more points recently compared to Pitea.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 13%
Pitea Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasalund Pitea
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.78 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Pitea
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Pitea
0:1
May 9, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Vasalund
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Vasalund
2:0
Apr 15, 2023 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Pitea
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasalund Compare

Top Goalscorer Khan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pitea Compare

Top Goalscorer Lundback J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brooks B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasalund 41 / 100
Pitea 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasalund Pitea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vasalund or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vasalund attacking → ← attacking Pitea

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasalund scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

Pitea let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Vasalund went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pitea lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 42
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hammarby TFF14102238:1132
2Karlstad1493222:930
3FC Arlanda1485123:1029
4FC Stockholm Internazionale1483328:1427
5Enkopings SK1481524:2325
6FBK Karlstad1473423:2024
7AFC Eskilstuna1454523:2419
8Karlbergs1453623:2318
9Umea FC1444620:2416
10FC Jarfalla1443721:2715
11Vasalund1443720:3015
12Assyriska FF1435622:2914
13Gefle1442817:2914
14Sollentuna1427512:1913
15Pitea1423916:329
16IFK Stocksund1415828:368