Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasas vs Ajka

Hungary Hungary

NB II. 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Urblik J.
32' Event
Horvath R.
32'
Tar Z.

AI Match Summary

The NB II. 2025/2026 game between Vasas and Ajka finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vasas
15%
Draws
49%
Ajka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vasas come out ahead of Ajka on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular NB II. 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Vasas Clean Sheet 68%
Ajka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasas Ajka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.27 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 NB II.
Vasas vs Ajka
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 NB II.
Ajka vs Vasas
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 NB II.
Ajka vs Vasas
2:3
Sep 1, 2024 NB II.
Vasas vs Ajka
3:2
Mar 10, 2024 NB II.
Vasas vs Ajka
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasas Compare

Top Goalscorer Horvath R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ajka Compare

Top Goalscorer Cipf D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasas 41 / 100
Ajka 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasas Ajka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vasas scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ajka conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Vasas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasas VS Ajka
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasas

(Home)
19 Sept
Debrecen
2 : 4
Vasas
12 Sept
TFSE-Tent Budapest
1 : 3
Vasas
04 Sept
Vasas
3 : 2
Nyiregyhaza
29 Aug
Ujpest
3 : 1
Vasas
22 Aug
Vasas
0 : 1
Puskas Academy
Page 1 of 6

Ajka

(Away)
19 Sept
Ajka
1 : 0
Csakvari
12 Sept
Ajka
3 : 2
BVSC-Zuglo
05 Sept
Ajka
0 : 3
Soroksar
30 Aug
Szentlorinc SE
0 : 1
Ajka
22 Aug
Ajka
2 : 0
Nagykanizsa FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasas 30 20 4 6 59:26 64
2 Honved 30 18 5 7 49:26 59
3 Kecskemeti TE 30 16 3 11 49:39 51
4 Kozarmisleny SE 30 13 9 8 38:40 48
5 Mezokovesd-Zsory 30 13 7 10 37:34 46
6 Csakvari 30 12 10 8 43:37 46
7 BVSC-Zuglo 30 12 5 13 36:30 41
8 Videoton 30 10 9 11 37:33 39
9 Szeged-Csanad GA 30 9 9 12 29:34 36
10 Tiszakecske 30 10 9 11 37:44 35
11 Karcagi 30 9 8 13 29:41 35
12 Ajka 30 10 3 17 23:40 33
13 Soroksar 30 8 9 13 41:45 33
14 Szentlorinc SE 30 7 12 11 35:42 33
15 Budafoki MTE 30 7 8 15 33:49 29
16 Bekescsaba 1912 30 6 10 14 27:42 28
Promotion - NB I. (Main)