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Stadium Background

Vasas vs Ajka

Hungary Hungary

NB II. 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Urblik J.
32' Event
Horvath R.
32'
Tar Z.

AI Match Summary

The NB II. 2025/2026 game between Vasas and Ajka finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Vasas
20%
Draws
28%
Ajka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vasas come out ahead of Ajka on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vasas a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NB II. 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Vasas Clean Sheet 68%
Ajka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasas Ajka
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 20 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 NB II.
Vasas vs Ajka
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 NB II.
Ajka vs Vasas
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 NB II.
Ajka vs Vasas
2:3
Sep 1, 2024 NB II.
Vasas vs Ajka
3:2
Mar 10, 2024 NB II.
Vasas vs Ajka
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasas Compare

Top Goalscorer Horvath R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ajka Compare

Top Goalscorer Cipf D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasas 86 / 100
Ajka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasas Ajka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vasas scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Ajka conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Vasas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Vasas VS Ajka
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasas

(Home)
02 Aug
Ferencvaros
0 : 0
Vasas
26 Jul
Vasas
2 : 2
Gyor
18 Jul
Vasas
1 : 0
Videoton
18 Jul
Vasas
2 : 1
Soroksar
11 Jul
Vasas
5 : 1
Kecskemeti TE
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Ajka

(Away)
25 Jul
Ajka
3 : 1
Kecskemeti TE
18 Jul
Ajka
0 : 2
Csakvari
11 Jul
Gyirmot FC Gyor
2 : 0
Ajka
08 Jul
Ajka
3 : 1
Sopron
04 Jul
Haladas
3 : 0
Ajka
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasas 30 20 4 6 59:26 64
2 Honved 30 18 5 7 49:26 59
3 Kecskemeti TE 30 16 3 11 49:39 51
4 Kozarmisleny SE 30 13 9 8 38:40 48
5 Mezokovesd-Zsory 30 13 7 10 37:34 46
6 Csakvari 30 12 10 8 43:37 46
7 BVSC-Zuglo 30 12 5 13 36:30 41
8 Videoton 30 10 9 11 37:33 39
9 Szeged-Csanad GA 30 9 9 12 29:34 36
10 Tiszakecske 30 10 9 11 37:44 35
11 Karcagi 30 9 8 13 29:41 35
12 Ajka 30 10 3 17 23:40 33
13 Soroksar 30 8 9 13 41:45 33
14 Szentlorinc SE 30 7 12 11 35:42 33
15 Budafoki MTE 30 7 8 15 33:49 29
16 Bekescsaba 1912 30 6 10 14 27:42 28
Promotion - NB I. (Main)