Sport Picks
Vasco da Gama AC vs Independencia Futebol Clube
Brazil
Acreano 
Match Events
8'
8'
Diogo Correia
33'
33'
Gomes C.
55'
55'
Gomes C.
AI Match Summary
Independencia Futebol Clube in this Acreano matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independencia Futebol Clube.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Independencia Futebol Clube lately — more wins on the board than Vasco da Gama AC.
- Independencia Futebol Clube are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Independencia Futebol Clube have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Vasco da Gama AC Clean Sheet 16%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vasco da Gama AC | Independencia Futebol Clube |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 38 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2026 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Independencia Futebol Clube
1:3
Jan 27, 2025 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Vasco da Gama AC
0:3
Apr 11, 2024 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:2
Feb 25, 2024 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Vasco da Gama AC
2:1
Mar 8, 2019 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Independencia Futebol Clube
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vasco da Gama AC Compare
Top Goalscorer Leozinho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Independencia Futebol Clube Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomes C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Diogo Correia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vasco da Gama AC 10 / 100
Independencia Futebol Clube 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vasco da Gama AC Independencia Futebol Clube
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vasco da Gama AC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Independencia Futebol Clube has conceded goals in 74% of their last 38 outings.
Solid form: Vasco da Gama AC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Vasco da Gama AC VS Independencia Futebol Clube
2 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vasco da Gama AC
(Home) 05 Mar
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
2 : 2 Vasco da Gama AC
28 Feb
Galvez
5 : 2 Vasco da Gama AC
20 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 2 Velo Clube
10 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 3 Independencia Futebol Clube
04 Feb
SC Humaita
0 : 0 Vasco da Gama AC
Page 1 of 6
20 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 2 Velo Clube
10 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 3 Independencia Futebol Clube
26 Jan
Vasco da Gama AC
3 : 1 Senador Guiomard
17 Jan
Vasco da Gama AC
2 : 3 Rio Branco AC
22 Mar
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 2 Galvez
Page 1 of 3
Independencia Futebol Clube
(Away) 28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1 Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2 Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2 Guapore
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4 Independencia Futebol Clube
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1 Galvez
Page 1 of 8
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1 Independencia Futebol Clube
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4 Independencia Futebol Clube
09 May
Porto Velho
2 : 1 Independencia Futebol Clube
26 Apr
Araguaina
1 : 1 Independencia Futebol Clube
19 Apr
Galvez
2 : 1 Independencia Futebol Clube
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galvez | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 16 |
| 2 | SC Humaita | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:3 | 15 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz AC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Rio Branco AC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Independencia Futebol Clube | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 6 | Senador Guiomard | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | 5 |
| 7 | Sao Francisco FC (AC) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:26 | 4 |
| 8 | Vasco da Gama AC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | -1 |
Promotion - Acreano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Acreano 2 2027 (Main)
