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Vasco da Gama AC vs Senador Guiomard

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Patrick
52' Event
Dudu
68' Event
Daniego

AI Match Summary

The Acreano 2024 game between Vasco da Gama AC and Senador Guiomard finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco da Gama AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vasco da Gama AC
40%
Draws
29%
Senador Guiomard
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco da Gama AC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Acreano 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vasco da Gama AC Clean Sheet 20%
Senador Guiomard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco da Gama AC Senador Guiomard
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Senador Guiomard
3:1
Mar 8, 2025 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Vasco da Gama AC
0:2
Mar 19, 2024 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Senador Guiomard
2:1
Mar 17, 2022 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Vasco da Gama AC
2:0
Mar 14, 2010 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Vasco da Gama AC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco da Gama AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Daniego
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Senador Guiomard Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco da Gama AC 32 / 100
Senador Guiomard 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco da Gama AC Senador Guiomard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco da Gama AC's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Senador Guiomard let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Difficult form: Senador Guiomard registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco da Gama AC VS Senador Guiomard
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco da Gama AC

(Home)
05 Mar
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
2 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
28 Feb
Galvez
5 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
20 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 2
Velo Clube
10 Feb
Vasco da Gama AC
1 : 3
Independencia Futebol Clube
04 Feb
SC Humaita
0 : 0
Vasco da Gama AC
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Senador Guiomard

(Away)
07 Mar
Santa Cruz AC
3 : 2
Senador Guiomard
02 Mar
Senador Guiomard
0 : 2
Independencia Futebol Clube
11 Feb
Senador Guiomard
0 : 2
Rio Branco AC
05 Feb
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 2
Senador Guiomard
31 Jan
Senador Guiomard
1 : 1
Galvez
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rio Branco AC53209:311
2Vasco da Gama AC530212:69
3Independencia Futebol Clube52307:49
4Senador Guiomard51314:36
5Acreano51131:94
6Andira50142:101
Promotion - Acreano 2024 (Second stage)
Relegation - Acreano 2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Acreano 2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Humaita440011:112
2Sao Francisco FC (AC)42115:37
3Galvez41214:75
4Placido de Castro41033:53
5Nauas EC40132:91
Promotion - Acreano 2024 (Second stage)
Relegation - Acreano 2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Acreano 2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)