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Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs O Elvas CAD

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira play O Elvas CAD in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vasco da Gama Vidigueira averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. O Elvas CAD averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Vasco da Gama Vidigueira won 1, O Elvas CAD won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 10, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Vasco da Gama Vidigueira and 1.75 for O Elvas CAD. This points to a O Elvas CAD double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
6%
Draws
90%
O Elvas CAD
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: O Elvas CAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • O Elvas CAD has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vasco da Gama Vidigueira.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for O Elvas CAD.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group D provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Clean Sheet 12%
O Elvas CAD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco da Gama Vidigueira O Elvas CAD
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs O Elvas CAD
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
O Elvas CAD vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
4:0
Jan 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs O Elvas CAD
0:3
Aug 20, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
O Elvas CAD vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

O Elvas CAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva J. L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 10 / 100
O Elvas CAD 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira O Elvas CAD

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

O Elvas CAD let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

O Elvas CAD lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira VS O Elvas CAD
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Louletano26148436:1550
2Malveira26138538:2347
3Alverca B26145749:3247
4Juv. Evora261210436:2346
5GD Alcochetense26118733:2241
6Sintrense26117830:2540
7Lagoa26116944:3439
8O Elvas CAD26971033:2934
9Serpa26971028:3434
10Oriental26711829:3532
11Moncarapachense26710921:2131
12Portimonense B26641619:4222
13Industria26281620:4514
14Vasco da Gama Vidigueira261111420:5614