Sport Picks
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs Oriental
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 
Match Events
26'
26'
Machado N.
87'
87'
Castelhano M.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 game between Vasco da Gama Vidigueira and Oriental finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oriental
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vasco da Gama Vidigueira haven't matched Oriental's recent run of results.
- Oriental are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Clean Sheet 16%
Oriental Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira | Oriental |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.27 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs Oriental
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2:2
Feb 4, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs Oriental
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
4:1
Jan 27, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Compare
Top Goalscorer Castelhano M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Oriental Compare
Top Goalscorer Machado N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 10 / 100
Oriental 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Oriental
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oriental Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oriental has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Vasco da Gama Vidigueira scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira VS Oriental
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
(Home) 18 Apr
Juv. Evora
4 : 1 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
12 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2 : 5 Louletano
04 Apr
Sintrense
4 : 0 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
22 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 : 0 Portimonense B
15 Mar
Malveira
4 : 1 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2 : 5 Louletano
22 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 : 0 Portimonense B
01 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 : 1 Moncarapachense
15 Feb
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2 : 2 Serpa
25 Jan
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1 : 1 Oriental
Page 1 of 3
Oriental
(Away) 18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1 Serpa
12 Apr
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1 Oriental
04 Apr
Oriental
0 : 2 Lagoa
22 Mar
Oriental
1 : 2 Alverca B
15 Mar
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0 Oriental
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1 Oriental
15 Mar
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0 Oriental
01 Mar
Louletano
2 : 0 Oriental
15 Feb
Portimonense B
0 : 2 Oriental
25 Jan
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1 : 1 Oriental
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louletano | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 36:15 | 50 |
| 2 | Malveira | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 38:23 | 47 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 49:32 | 47 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 36:23 | 46 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 33:22 | 41 |
| 6 | Sintrense | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 30:25 | 40 |
| 7 | Lagoa | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 39 |
| 8 | O Elvas CAD | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33:29 | 34 |
| 9 | Serpa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:34 | 34 |
| 10 | Oriental | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29:35 | 32 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21:21 | 31 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 19:42 | 22 |
| 13 | Industria | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20:45 | 14 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira | 26 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 20:56 | 14 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
