Sport Picks
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs Serpa Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 
Match Events
10'
10'
Ribeiro D.
32'
32'
Eze E.
48'
48'
Araujo E.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 game between Vasco da Gama Vidigueira and Serpa finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
35%
56%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Serpa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Serpa carry the better recent record into this one.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on Serpa taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Clean Sheet 10%
Serpa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira | Serpa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 3 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs Serpa
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Serpa vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1:0
Mar 17, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs Serpa
1:0
Dec 3, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Serpa vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1:2
Feb 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs Serpa
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Compare
Top Goalscorer Eze E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Serpa Compare
Top Goalscorer Ribeiro D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 10 / 100
Serpa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Serpa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Serpa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Serpa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Solid form: Vasco da Gama Vidigueira remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira VS Serpa
0.57 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
(Home) 18 Apr
Juv. Evora
4 : 1 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
12 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2 : 5 Louletano
04 Apr
Sintrense
4 : 0 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
22 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 : 0 Portimonense B
15 Mar
Malveira
4 : 1 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Page 1 of 7
12 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2 : 5 Louletano
22 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 : 0 Portimonense B
01 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 : 1 Moncarapachense
15 Feb
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2 : 2 Serpa
25 Jan
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1 : 1 Oriental
Page 1 of 4
Serpa
(Away) 26 Sept
Real SC
1 : 1 Serpa
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2 Louletano
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0 Serpa
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1 1º Dezembro
29 Aug
Serpa
2 : 0 Grandolense
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Real SC
1 : 1 Serpa
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0 Serpa
18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1 Serpa
04 Apr
O Elvas CAD
3 : 2 Serpa
15 Mar
Louletano
2 : 1 Serpa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louletano | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 36:15 | 50 |
| 2 | Malveira | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 38:23 | 47 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 49:32 | 47 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 36:23 | 46 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 33:22 | 41 |
| 6 | Sintrense | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 30:25 | 40 |
| 7 | Lagoa | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 39 |
| 8 | O Elvas CAD | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33:29 | 34 |
| 9 | Serpa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:34 | 34 |
| 10 | Oriental | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29:35 | 32 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21:21 | 31 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 19:42 | 22 |
| 13 | Industria | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20:45 | 14 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira | 26 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 20:56 | 14 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
