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Stadium Background

Vasco U17 vs Fluminense U17

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U17
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vasco U17 play Fluminense U17 in the Brasileiro U17. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vasco U17 averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Fluminense U17 averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Vasco U17 won 0, Fluminense U17 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 7, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Vasco U17 and 1.94 for Fluminense U17. This points to a Fluminense U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Vasco U17
25%
Draws
42%
Fluminense U17
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Fluminense U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco U17 picked up more points recently compared to Fluminense U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Vasco U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Fluminense U17 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U17 Fluminense U17
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.76 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Brasileiro U17
Vasco U17 vs Fluminense U17
1:1
Jul 3, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Fluminense U17 vs Vasco U17
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U17 32 / 100
Fluminense U17 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U17 Fluminense U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fluminense U17 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vasco U17 attacking → ← attacking Fluminense U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U17 scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Fluminense U17 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vasco U17 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fluminense U17 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 57
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U17760125:1218
2Fluminense U17751115:616
3Fortaleza U17751112:716
4Corinthians U17741220:713
5Athletico-PR U17732213:1211
6Bragantino U17631212:910
7Cruzeiro U17631210:710
8Santos U1773135:910
9Gremio U1763129:1410
10America MG U17623115:79
11Vasco U1772329:89
12EC Juventude U1772327:119
13Bahia U1762138:77
14Internacional U17621311:177
15Botafogo RJ U17721410:197
16Atletico-MG U17713312:156
17Sao Paulo U1760514:75
18Vitoria U1761052:113
19Flamengo RJ U1760336:103
20Atletico GO U1760066:160