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Vasco U17 vs Mazagao U17

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U17 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Feijao
45' Event
Minete D.
77' Event
Minete D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Vasco U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Vasco U17
15%
Draws
40%
Mazagao U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasco U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vasco U17 come out ahead of Mazagao U17 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vasco U17 a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Vasco U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vasco U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Mazagao U17 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U17 Mazagao U17
Matches Played 31 5
Wins 13 3
Draws 8 0
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.81 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2025 Copa do Brasil U17
Vasco U17 vs Mazagao U17
5:0
Apr 1, 2025 Copa do Brasil U17
Mazagao U17 vs Vasco U17
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Minete D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Feijao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Mazagao U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U17 85 / 100
Mazagao U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U17 Mazagao U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mazagao U17 conceded in 100% of 5 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Vasco U17 scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Vasco U17 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U17 VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco U17

(Home)
22 Sept
Vasco U17
5 : 0
Santos U17
15 Sept
Vasco U17
1 : 1
Bahia U17
08 Sept
Botafogo RJ U17
4 : 2
Vasco U17
05 Sept
Vasco U17
4 : 0
Gremio U17
02 Sept
Atletico GO U17
3 : 5
Vasco U17
Page 1 of 7

Mazagao U17

(Away)
15 Apr
Vasco U17
5 : 0
Mazagao U17
01 Apr
Mazagao U17
1 : 3
Vasco U17
25 Mar
Amazonas U17
1 : 2
Mazagao U17
18 Mar
Mazagao U17
2 : 1
Amazonas U17
11 Mar
Remo U17
1 : 2
Mazagao U17

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Vasco U17 3
Coimbra Sports U17 1
Atletico GO U17 1
Cuiaba U17 2
Amazonas U17 5
Monte Roraima U17 0
Remo U17 1
Mazagao U17 2
Flamengo RJ U17 5
Porto Vitoria U17 1
America MG U17 3
Capital U17 1
Santos U17 7
EC Juventude U17 1
Internacional U17 1
Chapecoense-SC U17 0
Sao Paulo U17 6
Ismailly-MS U17 2
Athletico-PR U17 5
Hope Internacional U17 2
Falcon U17 1
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U17 4
Sport Recife U17 4
Alecrim U17 2
SE Juventude U17 7
Galvez U17 1
Porto Velho U17 1
Batalhao U17 4
Fortaleza U17 5
Atletico-PI U17 1
Bahia U17 4
VF4 U17 0
1/8-finals
Vasco U17 3
Cuiaba U17 2
Amazonas U17 2
Mazagao U17 4
Flamengo RJ U17 6
America MG U17 2
Santos U17 3
Internacional U17 4
Sao Paulo U17 4
Athletico-PR U17 2
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U17 3
Sport Recife U17 4
SE Juventude U17 6
Batalhao U17 3
Fortaleza U17 2
Bahia U17 4
Quarter-finals
Vasco U17 8
Mazagao U17 1
Flamengo RJ U17 4
Internacional U17 3
Sao Paulo U17 3
Sport Recife U17 0
SE Juventude U17 3
Bahia U17 11
Semi-finals
Vasco U17 7
Flamengo RJ U17 2
Sao Paulo U17 4
Bahia U17 5
Final
Vasco U17 3
Bahia U17 2