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Vasco U20 vs America RJ U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20 Estadio Nivaldo Pereira, Nova Iguacu
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Augusto Silva Ferreira P.
33' Event
Andrey Fernandes
45' Event
Barros M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Vasco U20
15%
Draws
32%
America RJ U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco U20 have won more games recently than America RJ U20.
  • Vasco U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Vasco U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco U20, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 20%
America RJ U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 America RJ U20
Matches Played 40 28
Wins 28 14
Draws 3 2
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
May 2, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs America RJ U20
4:1
Mar 28, 2026 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
3:2
Mar 22, 2025 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrey Fernandes
3 Goals
Assists Leader Augusto Silva Ferreira P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

America RJ U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Barros M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 85 / 100
America RJ U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 America RJ U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vasco U20 scored in 88% of their last 40 outings.

America RJ U20 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Vasco U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco U20

(Home)
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
26 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
19 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
1 : 2
Vasco U20
17 Sept
Vasco U20
11 : 0
Rio Branco ES U20
12 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Bangu U20
Page 1 of 8

America RJ U20

(Away)
10 May
America RJ U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
02 May
Vasco U20
4 : 1
America RJ U20
17 Apr
America RJ U20
4 : 2
Bangu U20
11 Apr
Bangu U20
1 : 2
America RJ U20
05 Apr
Marica U20
0 : 1
America RJ U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
America RJ U20 6
Bangu U20 3
Fluminense U20 0
Vasco U20 2
Final
America RJ U20 1
Vasco U20 5