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Vasco U20 vs America RJ U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20 Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vasco U20 play America RJ U20 in the Copa Rio U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vasco U20 averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. America RJ U20 averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Vasco U20 won 2, America RJ U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.04 for Vasco U20 and 1.21 for America RJ U20. This points to a Vasco U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vasco U20
39%
Draws
30%
America RJ U20
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to America RJ U20.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Copa Rio U20 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 20%
America RJ U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 America RJ U20
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
May 2, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs America RJ U20
4:1
Mar 28, 2026 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
3:2
Mar 22, 2025 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrey Fernandes
3 Goals
Assists Leader Augusto Silva Ferreira P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

America RJ U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Barros M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 32 / 100
America RJ U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 America RJ U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U20 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

America RJ U20 let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Vasco U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

America RJ U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS America RJ U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.67
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.33
50% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
America RJ U206
Bangu U203
Fluminense U200
Vasco U202
Final
America RJ U201
Vasco U205