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Vasco U20 vs Boavista U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
70' Event
Breno Sales
90' Event
Alex Bruno

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 game between Vasco U20 and Boavista U20 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vasco U20
20%
Draws
33%
Boavista U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Boavista U20 haven't matched Vasco U20's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Vasco U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Vasco U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Boavista U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 Boavista U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.9 1
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Boavista U20
2:1
Aug 29, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Boavista U20
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Boavista U20
4:1
Jun 21, 2024 Carioca U20
Boavista U20 vs Vasco U20
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Breno Sales
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alex Bruno
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Boavista U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 76 / 100
Boavista U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 Boavista U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vasco U20 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Boavista U20 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vasco U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS Boavista U20
3 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco U20

(Home)
08 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 2
Vasco U20
03 Oct
Fluminense U20
1 : 1
Vasco U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
26 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
19 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
1 : 2
Vasco U20
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Boavista U20

(Away)
09 Oct
Boavista U20
1 : 4
Bangu U20
03 Oct
Madureira U20
1 : 1
Boavista U20
27 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1
Boavista U20
20 Sept
Boavista U20
3 : 2
Nova Iguacu U20
13 Sept
Portuguesa RJ U20
1 : 2
Boavista U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 10 8 2 0 26:7 26
2 Flamengo RJ U20 9 8 0 1 25:8 24
3 Vasco U20 9 7 1 1 17:6 22
4 Botafogo RJ U20 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Sampaio Correa FE U20 10 4 3 3 13:18 15
6 Bangu U20 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
7 Nova Iguacu U20 10 2 4 4 11:17 10
8 Madureira U20 10 1 7 2 11:14 10
9 Marica U20 10 2 2 6 11:18 8
10 Boavista U20 10 2 2 6 12:21 8
11 Portuguesa RJ U20 10 1 2 7 7:16 5
12 Volta Redonda U20 10 1 2 7 7:19 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)