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Vasco U20 vs Fluminense U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Gustavo Guimaraes
47' Event
Andrey Fernandes
60'
Lopes W.

AI Match Summary

The Copa Rio U20 game between Vasco U20 and Fluminense U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Vasco U20
17%
Draws
13%
Fluminense U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Fluminense U20 haven't matched Vasco U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vasco U20's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vasco U20 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 Fluminense U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Fluminense U20
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Fluminense U20
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Carioca U20
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrey Fernandes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Fluminense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 67 / 100
Fluminense U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 Fluminense U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vasco U20 scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Fluminense U20 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Fluminense U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS Fluminense U20
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
America RJ U206
Bangu U203
Fluminense U200
Vasco U202
Final
America RJ U201
Vasco U205