Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasco U20 vs Fluminense U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 Logo

Vasco U20

1 - 0
FT
Fluminense U20 Logo

Fluminense U20

Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Gustavo Guimaraes
47' Event
Andrey Fernandes
60'
Lopes W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vasco U20
15%
Draws
45%
Fluminense U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Fluminense U20 haven't matched Vasco U20's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Vasco U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vasco U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 Fluminense U20
Matches Played 41 36
Wins 25 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.68 1.61
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Fluminense U20
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Fluminense U20
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Carioca U20
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrey Fernandes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Fluminense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 32 / 100
Fluminense U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 Fluminense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U20 scored in 83% of their last 41 games.

Fluminense U20 has conceded goals in 61% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Vasco U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS Fluminense U20
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco U20

(Home)
28 Aug
Vasco U20
0 : 1
Palmeiras U20
21 Aug
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 1
Vasco U20
14 Aug
Vasco U20
1 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
08 Aug
Marica U20
1 : 3
Vasco U20
30 Jul
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Santos U20
Page 1 of 9

Fluminense U20

(Away)
29 Aug
Fluminense U20
2 : 1
Bangu U20
22 Aug
Madureira U20
2 : 2
Fluminense U20
15 Aug
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Boavista U20
08 Aug
Nova Iguacu U20
1 : 3
Fluminense U20
01 Jul
Botafogo RJ U20
3 : 2
Fluminense U20
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
America RJ U20 6
Bangu U20 3
Fluminense U20 0
Vasco U20 2
Final
America RJ U20 1
Vasco U20 5