Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
Riquelme Avellar
44'
44'
Zuccarello L.
(Penalty)
56'
56'
Riquelme Avellar
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
30%
20%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vasco U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Vasco U20 come out ahead of Madureira U20 on wins alone.
- Model gives Vasco U20 a 50% chance of winning this.
- Vasco U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Vasco U20, who have won 4 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Vasco U20 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vasco U20 | Madureira U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.73 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 25, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
2:1
Jun 15, 2024 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
2:1
Mar 29, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vasco U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Riquelme Avellar
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Madureira U20 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vasco U20 95 / 100
Madureira U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vasco U20 Madureira U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vasco U20 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.
Vasco U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Madureira U20 let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Vasco U20 VS Madureira U20
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Vasco U20
(Home) 19 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
1 : 2 Vasco U20
17 Sept
Vasco U20
11 : 0 Rio Branco ES U20
12 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0 Bangu U20
09 Sept
Vasco U20
2 : 1 Boavista U20
04 Sept
Palmeiras U20
0 : 2 Vasco U20
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Vasco U20
11 : 0 Rio Branco ES U20
12 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0 Bangu U20
09 Sept
Vasco U20
2 : 1 Boavista U20
28 Aug
Vasco U20
0 : 1 Palmeiras U20
14 Aug
Vasco U20
1 : 0 Portuguesa RJ U20
Page 1 of 4
Madureira U20
(Away) 19 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 0 Portuguesa RJ U20
12 Sept
Marica U20
2 : 3 Madureira U20
29 Aug
Flamengo RJ U20
4 : 1 Madureira U20
22 Aug
Madureira U20
2 : 2 Fluminense U20
14 Aug
Botafogo RJ U20
1 : 1 Madureira U20
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Marica U20
2 : 3 Madureira U20
29 Aug
Flamengo RJ U20
4 : 1 Madureira U20
14 Aug
Botafogo RJ U20
1 : 1 Madureira U20
05 Apr
Sampaio Correa U20
2 : 1 Madureira U20
25 Mar
Vasco U20
3 : 0 Madureira U20
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fluminense U20 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17:2 | 17 |
| 2 | Bangu U20 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ U20 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19:3 | 15 |
| 4 | Portuguesa RJ U20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 5 | Boavista U20 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 9 |
| 6 | Resende U20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 7 | Olaria U20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:13 | 4 |
| 8 | Volta Redonda U20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5:20 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America RJ U20 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Vasco U20 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Flamengo RJ U20 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Sampaio Correa U20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 5 | Madureira U20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Nova Iguacu U20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 7 | Cabofriense U20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:18 | 7 |
| 8 | Marica U20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5:11 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)
