Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Riquelme Avellar
44' Event
Zuccarello L.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Riquelme Avellar

AI Match Summary

The Copa Rio U20 game between Vasco U20 and Madureira U20 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vasco U20
33%
Draws
27%
Madureira U20
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vasco U20 come out ahead of Madureira U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vasco U20 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Rio U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vasco U20 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 Madureira U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
2:1
Jun 15, 2024 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
2:1
Mar 29, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Riquelme Avellar
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Madureira U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 50 / 100
Madureira U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 Madureira U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U20's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Madureira U20 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Madureira U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fluminense U20752017:217
2Bangu U2075029:415
3Botafogo RJ U20743019:315
4Portuguesa RJ U20731311:910
5Boavista U2073045:99
6Resende U2072238:178
7Olaria U2071153:134
8Volta Redonda U2070165:201
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America RJ U20760116:818
2Vasco U20750218:815
3Flamengo RJ U20740321:1012
4Sampaio Correa U20731311:1310
5Madureira U2073136:1010
6Nova Iguacu U2072146:127
7Cabofriense U2072147:187
8Marica U2071065:113