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Vasco U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vasco U20 host Sampaio Correa FE U20 in the Carioca U20. This has Vasco U20 written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Vasco U20 at 1.96 goals for, 0.71 against; Sampaio Correa FE U20 at 1.11 for, 2.14 against. Past meetings favor Vasco U20 slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2025, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 0.75, favoring Vasco U20. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Vasco U20
20%
Draws
23%
Sampaio Correa FE U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sampaio Correa FE U20 haven't matched Vasco U20's recent run of results.
  • Vasco U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20
Matches Played 45 28
Wins 31 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.96 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.71 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
4:1
Sep 1, 2024 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 85 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U20 scored in 87% of their last 45 games.

Sampaio Correa FE U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vasco U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco U20

(Home)
08 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 2
Vasco U20
03 Oct
Fluminense U20
1 : 1
Vasco U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
26 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
19 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
1 : 2
Vasco U20
Page 1 of 9

Sampaio Correa FE U20

(Away)
02 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
27 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1
Boavista U20
19 Sept
Fluminense U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
12 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
04 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ U20 9 8 0 1 25:8 24
2 Fluminense U20 9 7 2 0 23:7 23
3 Vasco U20 9 7 1 1 17:6 22
4 Sampaio Correa FE U20 9 4 2 3 12:17 14
5 Botafogo RJ U20 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
6 Bangu U20 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
7 Madureira U20 9 1 6 2 10:13 9
8 Marica U20 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
9 Boavista U20 10 2 2 6 12:21 8
10 Nova Iguacu U20 9 1 4 4 10:17 7
11 Portuguesa RJ U20 9 1 2 6 6:14 5
12 Volta Redonda U20 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)