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Vasco U20 vs Sao Paulo U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gustavo Guimaraes
54' Event
Andrey Fernandes

AI Match Summary

Vasco U20 in this Brasileiro U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vasco U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Vasco U20
22%
Draws
60%
Sao Paulo U20
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sao Paulo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vasco U20 lately — more wins on the board than Sao Paulo U20.
  • Sao Paulo U20 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Sao Paulo U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 Sao Paulo U20
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Vasco U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
2:0
Apr 23, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Vasco U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
4:1
Jan 17, 2022 Copinha
Sao Paulo U20 vs Vasco U20
4:2
Jul 18, 2021 Brasileiro U20
Vasco U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
0:1
Dec 20, 2020 Brasileiro U20
Vasco U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Guimaraes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrey Fernandes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sao Paulo U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 19 / 100
Sao Paulo U20 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 Sao Paulo U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U20's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Sao Paulo U20 let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Vasco U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS Sao Paulo U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco U20

(Home)
22 Jul
Santos U20
2 : 0
Vasco U20
14 Jul
Vasco U20
2 : 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
08 Jul
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
1 : 0
Vasco U20
01 Jul
Fortaleza U20
1 : 1
Vasco U20
25 Jun
Vasco U20
1 : 2
Criciuma U20
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Sao Paulo U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Velo Clube U20
0 : 0
Sao Paulo U20
11 Jul
EC Sao Bernardo U20
1 : 3
Sao Paulo U20
04 Jul
Sao Paulo U20
0 : 0
Piracicaba U20
01 Jul
Santos U20
0 : 3
Sao Paulo U20
28 Jun
Sao Caetano U20
0 : 2
Sao Paulo U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs)