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Vasco vs Flamengo RJ - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Sao Januário, Rio de Janeiro
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vasco host Flamengo RJ in the Serie A. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Vasco at 1.19 goals for, 0.97 against; Flamengo RJ at 1.81 for, 0.75 against. Head-to-head, Vasco have won 0 to Flamengo RJ's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.19, favoring Flamengo RJ. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Vasco
30%
Draws
43%
Flamengo RJ
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flamengo RJ lately — more wins on the board than Vasco.
  • Flamengo RJ are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Vasco Clean Sheet 20%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco Flamengo RJ
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 13 20
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.19 1.81
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie A
Flamengo RJ vs Vasco
2:2
Jan 22, 2026 Carioca
Flamengo RJ vs Vasco
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie A
Flamengo RJ vs Vasco
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 Serie A
Vasco vs Flamengo RJ
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Carioca
Flamengo RJ vs Vasco
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco 24 / 100
Flamengo RJ 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco Flamengo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vasco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Flamengo RJ has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vasco VS Flamengo RJ
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco

(Home)
21 Oct
Vasco
1 : 3
Boca Juniors
18 Oct
Sao Paulo
1 : 0
Vasco
14 Oct
Boca Juniors
0 : 1
Vasco
10 Oct
Vasco
0 : 0
Remo
07 Oct
Botafogo RJ
1 : 2
Vasco
Page 1 of 7

Flamengo RJ

(Away)
18 Oct
Bahia
0 : 3
Flamengo RJ
16 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0
Flamengo RJ
11 Oct
Flamengo RJ
1 : 0
Fluminense
08 Oct
Santos
2 : 2
Flamengo RJ
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 31 20 7 4 61:25 67
2 Palmeiras 31 19 9 3 54:22 66
3 Athletico-PR 31 15 8 8 49:37 53
4 Cruzeiro 31 15 6 10 50:46 51
5 Fluminense 31 14 9 8 49:39 51
6 Atletico-MG 31 14 8 9 42:35 50
7 Bahia 31 13 10 8 44:39 49
8 Santos 31 12 9 10 48:46 45
9 Sao Paulo 31 12 6 13 36:35 42
10 Bragantino 31 11 8 12 39:36 41
11 Botafogo RJ 31 10 9 12 44:48 39
12 Coritiba 31 10 9 12 38:49 39
13 Vitoria 31 10 7 14 34:45 37
14 Mirassol 31 9 9 13 36:44 36
15 Vasco 30 9 8 13 36:43 35
16 Corinthians 31 8 9 14 32:39 33
17 Internacional 31 7 11 13 33:40 32
18 Gremio 31 7 10 14 34:44 31
19 Remo 31 5 11 15 34:49 26
20 Chapecoense-SC 30 3 9 18 30:62 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)