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Vasco vs Gremio Maringa

Brazil Brazil

Serie A 1978
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A 1978 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Vasco
28%
Draws
50%
Gremio Maringa
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gremio Maringa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gremio Maringa haven't matched Vasco's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gremio Maringa a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vasco Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio Maringa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco Gremio Maringa
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 1978 Serie A Betano
Vasco vs Gremio Maringa
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco 24 / 100
Gremio Maringa 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco Gremio Maringa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Maringa has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Vasco's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vasco remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasco VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarani761012:213
2Internacional760112:512
3Botafogo SP740312:78
4Goias73139:97
5Santos722310:66
6Botafogo PB72146:105
7Londrina71154:133
8Goytacaz71063:162
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sport Recife74219:610
2Santa Cruz734017:910
3Ponte Preta72508:29
4Operario MS73228:88
5Fluminense72327:57
6Portuguesa72326:57
7Dom Bosco71156:143
8Volta Redonda70253:152
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio761018:313
2Palmeiras724111:58
3Botafogo RJ73319:89
4America RJ73137:97
5Coritiba72325:67
6Flamengo RJ71337:105
7Noroeste71244:164
8Sao Paulo70346:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bahia751114:311
2Vasco743013:511
3SER Caxias do Sul733111:59
4Corinthians72327:87
5Cruzeiro71515:57
6Americano72143:125
7Gremio Maringa71247:104
8Vitoria70252:142