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Stadium Background

Vasco vs Gremio Maringa

Brazil Brazil

Serie A 1978
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A 1978 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vasco
30%
Draws
31%
Gremio Maringa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vasco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Gremio Maringa haven't matched Vasco's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vasco a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Vasco Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio Maringa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco Gremio Maringa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.4 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 1978 Serie A Betano
Vasco vs Gremio Maringa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco 67 / 100
Gremio Maringa 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco Gremio Maringa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Maringa has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Vasco's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vasco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasco VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco

(Home)
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0
Santa Fe
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2
Vasco
08 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 0
Vasco
06 Sept
Fluminense
1 : 0
Vasco
Page 1 of 6

Gremio Maringa

(Away)
05 Oct
Gremio Maringa
3 : 0
City London
28 Sept
Gremio Maringa
1 : 1
CA Cambe
20 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
3 : 3
Gremio Maringa
13 Sept
CA Cambe
1 : 0
Gremio Maringa
06 Sept
Gremio Maringa
2 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani 7 6 1 0 12:2 13
2 Internacional 7 6 0 1 12:5 12
3 Botafogo SP 7 4 0 3 12:7 8
4 Goias 7 3 1 3 9:9 7
5 Santos 7 2 2 3 10:6 6
6 Botafogo PB 7 2 1 4 6:10 5
7 Londrina 7 1 1 5 4:13 3
8 Goytacaz 7 1 0 6 3:16 2
Promotion - Serie A 1978 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Recife 7 4 2 1 9:6 10
2 Santa Cruz 7 3 4 0 17:9 10
3 Ponte Preta 7 2 5 0 8:2 9
4 Operario MS 7 3 2 2 8:8 8
5 Fluminense 7 2 3 2 7:5 7
6 Portuguesa 7 2 3 2 6:5 7
7 Dom Bosco 7 1 1 5 6:14 3
8 Volta Redonda 7 0 2 5 3:15 2
Promotion - Serie A 1978 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio 7 6 1 0 18:3 13
2 Palmeiras 7 2 4 1 11:5 8
3 Botafogo RJ 7 3 3 1 9:8 9
4 America RJ 7 3 1 3 7:9 7
5 Coritiba 7 2 3 2 5:6 7
6 Flamengo RJ 7 1 3 3 7:10 5
7 Noroeste 7 1 2 4 4:16 4
8 Sao Paulo 7 0 3 4 6:10 3
Promotion - Serie A 1978 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia 7 5 1 1 14:3 11
2 Vasco 7 4 3 0 13:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 7 3 3 1 11:5 9
4 Corinthians 7 2 3 2 7:8 7
5 Cruzeiro 7 1 5 1 5:5 7
6 Americano 7 2 1 4 3:12 5
7 Gremio Maringa 7 1 2 4 7:10 4
8 Vitoria 7 0 2 5 2:14 2
Promotion - Serie A 1978 (Play Offs)