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Vasco vs Internacional - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Sao Januário, Rio de Janeiro
Thu, Nov 19, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vasco host Internacional in the Serie A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Vasco have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Internacional's 1.34 scored and 1.34 conceded. Past meetings favor Vasco slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.19) back Vasco to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vasco
20%
Draws
40%
Internacional
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Internacional haven't matched Vasco's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vasco Clean Sheet 20%
Internacional Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco Internacional
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Serie A
Internacional vs Vasco
4:1
Nov 28, 2025 Serie A
Vasco vs Internacional
5:1
Jul 27, 2025 Serie A
Internacional vs Vasco
1:1
Nov 21, 2024 Serie A
Vasco vs Internacional
0:1
Jul 7, 2024 Serie A
Internacional vs Vasco
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco 36 / 100
Internacional 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco Internacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Internacional Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Vasco scored in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Internacional let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Vasco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasco VS Internacional
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco

(Home)
08 Nov
Vasco
2 : 2
Palmeiras
04 Nov
Athletico-PR
1 : 3
Vasco
01 Nov
Palmeiras
1 : 0
Vasco
29 Oct
Vasco
1 : 4
Flamengo RJ
24 Oct
Vasco
3 : 2
Corinthians
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Internacional

(Away)
04 Nov
Internacional
1 : 0
Coritiba
28 Oct
Fluminense
2 : 1
Internacional
24 Oct
Internacional
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ
16 Oct
Mirassol
2 : 0
Internacional
11 Oct
Gremio
1 : 1
Internacional
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 34 23 7 4 71:29 76
2 Palmeiras 34 21 10 3 62:23 73
3 Cruzeiro 34 18 6 10 55:48 60
4 Fluminense 34 16 9 9 55:42 57
5 Athletico-PR 34 15 9 10 51:43 54
6 Bahia 34 14 11 9 50:45 53
7 Atletico-MG 34 14 8 12 44:40 50
8 Bragantino 34 13 8 13 44:39 47
9 Santos 34 12 11 11 50:49 47
10 Sao Paulo 34 12 8 14 39:39 44
11 Botafogo RJ 34 11 9 14 46:53 42
12 Coritiba 34 11 9 14 40:51 42
13 Vasco 33 11 8 14 43:50 41
14 Mirassol 34 10 10 14 39:48 40
15 Vitoria 34 10 8 16 35:51 38
16 Internacional 34 9 11 14 38:42 38
17 Corinthians 34 9 10 15 36:42 37
18 Gremio 34 9 10 15 38:47 37
19 Remo 34 6 11 17 37:57 29
20 Chapecoense-SC 33 4 9 20 33:68 21
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)