Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasco vs Olimpia Asuncion

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Sao Januário, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Sandoval H.
14'
Adson
39' Event
Rodriguez J.
Assist: Adson

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Vasco
30%
Draws
18%
Olimpia Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vasco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olimpia Asuncion come out ahead of Vasco on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vasco a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Olimpia Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Vasco Clean Sheet 20%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco Olimpia Asuncion
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 9 16
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.15 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Olimpia Asuncion vs Vasco
3:1
Apr 30, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Vasco vs Olimpia Asuncion
3:0
Apr 27, 1990 Copa Libertadores
Vasco vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:0
Apr 3, 1990 Copa Libertadores
Olimpia Asuncion vs Vasco
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreira N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Olimpia Asuncion Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco 42 / 100
Olimpia Asuncion 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco Olimpia Asuncion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Vasco scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Olimpia Asuncion's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasco VS Olimpia Asuncion
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco

(Home)
09 Aug
Bahia
0 : 0
Vasco
06 Aug
Fluminense
1 : 3
Vasco
01 Aug
Vasco
0 : 0
Fluminense
29 Jul
Vasco
1 : 0
Ind. Medellin
25 Jul
Vasco
1 : 1
Mirassol
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia Asuncion

(Away)
08 Aug
2 de Mayo
1 : 0
Olimpia Asuncion
02 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
5 : 0
Rubio Nu
29 Jul
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 0
Olimpia Asuncion
26 Jul
Olimpia Asuncion
0 : 1
Libertad Asuncion
17 Jul
Flamengo RJ
4 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macara 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
2 Tigre 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
3 America De Cali 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
4 Alianza Atl. 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Cienciano 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
3 Juventud 6 1 4 1 10:7 7
4 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
2 O Higgins 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Millonarios 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Boston River 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Recoleta 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
2 Santos 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
3 San Lorenzo 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
4 Dep. Cuenca 6 1 3 2 3:7 6
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 5 1 0 15:5 16
2 Caracas 6 2 3 1 9:9 9
3 Racing Club 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
4 Independiente 6 0 0 6 3:15 0
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Gremio 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Deportivo Riestra 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
4 Palestino 6 0 3 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 Vasco 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 A. Italiano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
4 Barracas Central 6 0 3 3 2:8 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Bragantino 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
3 Carabobo 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
4 Blooming 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)