Sport Picks

Vasco vs Palmeiras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Copa do Brasil Sao Januário, Rio de Janeiro

Palmeiras

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Vasco have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Palmeiras's 1.75 scored and 0.68 conceded. Past meetings favor Palmeiras slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 1, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.44) back Palmeiras to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%

Vasco

20%

Draws

63%

Palmeiras

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palmeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence

Palmeiras have won more games recently than Vasco.
63% — that's where the model lands on Palmeiras taking it.
Palmeiras arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Palmeiras, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Palmeiras have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%

Vasco Clean Sheet 16%

Palmeiras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vasco	Palmeiras
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	12	16
Draws	7	9
Losses	9	3
Goals Scored	1.25	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.04	0.68
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Copa do Brasil

Palmeiras vs Vasco

1:0

Aug 23, 2026 Serie A

Palmeiras vs Vasco

4:1

Mar 12, 2026 Serie A

Vasco vs Palmeiras

2:1

Oct 1, 2025 Serie A

Palmeiras vs Vasco

3:0

May 4, 2025 Serie A

Vasco vs Palmeiras

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco 15 / 100

Palmeiras 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vasco Palmeiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Palmeiras has conceded goals in 43% of their last 28 outings.

Vasco went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco VS Palmeiras

1.63 Goals Scored 1.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38

63% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco

(Home)

01 Nov

Palmeiras

1 : 0

Vasco

29 Oct

Vasco

1 : 4

Flamengo RJ

24 Oct

Vasco

3 : 2

Corinthians

21 Oct

Vasco

1 : 3

Boca Juniors

18 Oct

Sao Paulo

1 : 0

Vasco

Page 1 of 6

Palmeiras

(Away)

01 Nov

Palmeiras

1 : 0

Vasco

28 Oct

Santos

0 : 0

Palmeiras

24 Oct

Palmeiras

2 : 0

Bragantino

22 Oct

Palmeiras

1 : 1

Fluminense

17 Oct

Athletico-PR

0 : 2

Palmeiras

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Sampaio Correa FE 1

Desportiva Ferroviaria 2

TBD -

Sport Recife -

Anapolis -

TBD -

Cianorte -

Rio Branco ES -

TBD -

Athletic Club -

Ypiranga FC -

TBD -

Ji-Parana 2

Pantanal 0

TBD -

Internacional -

Ivinhema 1

Independente AP 0

TBD -

Volta Redonda -

America RN -

TBD -

Gremio Atletico Sampaio -

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -

TBD -

America MG -

TBD -

America de Propria 1

Tirol 2

TBD -

Corinthians -

Bragantino -

TBD -

Mirassol -

Gremio -

TBD -

Vasco da Gama AC 1

Velo Clube 2

TBD -

Vila Nova FC -

ASA -

TBD -

Operario MS -

Confianca -

TBD -

Tombense -

TBD -

Oratorio -

Botafogo RJ -

TBD -

Chapecoense-SC -

Boavista -

TBD -

Maringa FC -

Retro -

TBD -

Uberlandia -

Gama 2

Monte Roraima 0

TBD -

Goias -

Trem -

TBD -

Fluminense-PI -

TBD -

Cruzeiro -

Atletico-MG -

TBD -

Joinville -

TBD -

CSA -

Sao Bernardo -

TBD -

Alagoinhas -

Sao Luiz -

TBD -

Maranhao -

Ceara -

TBD -

Araguaina 0

Primavera EC 3

Sao Paulo -

TBD -

Tuna Luso -

TBD -

Tocantinopolis -

EC Juventude -

TBD -

Galvez 1

Guapore 2

Bare 0

Madureira 3

TBD -

ABC -

Aguia De Maraba -

TBD -

Independencia Futebol Clube -

Portuguesa -

TBD -

AE Altos -

Avai -

TBD -

Porto Vitoria -

Paysandu PA -

TBD -

Portuguesa RJ -

TBD -

Maracana -

TBD -

Vasco -

Capital FC -

TBD -

Manaus FC -

Londrina -

TBD -

SC Penedense -

Betim FC 1

Piaui 0

TBD -

Operario-PR -

Juazeirense -

TBD -

Capital -

TBD -

Fluminense -

Athletico-PR -

TBD -

Operario VG -

TBD -

Porto Velho -

Atletico GO -

TBD -

Primavera AC 2

Bragantino PA 1

Ponte Preta -

TBD -

SER Caxias do Sul -

TBD -

Guarany de Bage -

Flamengo RJ -

TBD -

Vitoria -

Palmeiras -

TBD -

Santa Catarina 2

IAPE 0

TBD -

Cuiaba -

Ceilandia -

TBD -

Jacuipense -

Mixto -

TBD -

Botafogo PB -

Novorizontino -

TBD -

Nacional-AM (Manaus) -

Castanhal -

TBD -

Guarani -

Nova Iguacu -

TBD -

Lagarto -

Manauara -

TBD -

Itabaiana -

Fortaleza -

TBD -

Maguary 1

Laguna RN 0

Santa Cruz -

TBD -

Sousa -

CRB -

TBD -

Porto-BA 2

Serra Branca 1

Imperatriz -

TBD -

Amazonas -

Figueirense -

TBD -

Azuriz -

Santos -

TBD -

Coritiba -

Bahia -

TBD -

Remo -

1/128-finals

Desportiva Ferroviaria 0

Sport Recife 1

Anapolis 3

Cianorte 1

Rio Branco ES 1

Athletic Club 2

Ypiranga FC 2

Ji-Parana 0

TBD -

Internacional -

Ivinhema 2

Volta Redonda 4

America RN 3

Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -

TBD -

America MG 2

Tirol 1

TBD -

Corinthians -

Bragantino -

TBD -

Mirassol -

Gremio -

TBD -

Velo Clube 0

Vila Nova FC 1

ASA 1

Operario MS 2

Confianca -

TBD -

Tombense 2

Oratorio 1

Botafogo RJ -

TBD -

Chapecoense-SC -

Boavista 2

Maringa FC 3

Retro 1

Uberlandia 2

Gama 2

Goias 3

Trem 0

Fluminense-PI 1

TBD -

Cruzeiro -

Atletico-MG -

TBD -

Joinville 1

CSA 0

Sao Bernardo 2

Alagoinhas 0

Sao Luiz 0

Maranhao 1

Ceara 2

Primavera EC 1

Sao Paulo -

TBD -

Tuna Luso 4

Tocantinopolis 1

EC Juventude 5

Guapore 0

Madureira 1

ABC 0

Aguia De Maraba 2

Independencia Futebol Clube 0

Portuguesa 5

AE Altos 1

Avai 3

Porto Vitoria 0

Paysandu PA -

TBD -

Portuguesa RJ 1

Maracana 0

TBD -

Vasco -

Capital FC 1

Manaus FC 2

Londrina 1

SC Penedense 0

Betim FC 0

Operario-PR 2

Juazeirense 1

Capital 2

TBD -

Fluminense -

Athletico-PR -

TBD -

Operario VG 1

Porto Velho 2

Atletico GO 1

Primavera AC 0

Ponte Preta -

TBD -

SER Caxias do Sul 0

Guarany de Bage 1

Flamengo RJ -

TBD -

Vitoria -

Palmeiras -

TBD -

Santa Catarina 2

Cuiaba 1

Ceilandia 1

Jacuipense 2

Mixto 2

Botafogo PB 1

Novorizontino 4

Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0

Castanhal 2

Guarani 1

Nova Iguacu 2

Lagarto 1

Manauara 3

Itabaiana 1

Fortaleza 4

Maguary 3

Santa Cruz 0

Sousa 1

CRB 6

Porto-BA 0

Imperatriz 0

Amazonas 3

Figueirense 1

Azuriz 0

Santos -

TBD -

Coritiba -

Bahia -

TBD -

Remo -

1/64-finals

Sport Recife 2

Anapolis 1

Athletic Club 2

Ypiranga FC 0

TBD -

Internacional -

Volta Redonda 1

America RN 0

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1

America MG 0

TBD -

Corinthians -

Bragantino -

TBD -

Mirassol -

Gremio -

TBD -

Vila Nova FC 2

Operario MS 1

Confianca 2

Tombense 0

Botafogo RJ -

TBD -

Chapecoense-SC -

Maringa FC 3

Uberlandia 2

Goias 3

Fluminense-PI 0

TBD -

Cruzeiro -

Atletico-MG -

TBD -

Joinville 0

Sao Bernardo 1

Maranhao 0

Ceara 1

Sao Paulo -

TBD -

Tuna Luso 1

EC Juventude 2

Madureira 0

Aguia De Maraba 1

Portuguesa 2

Avai 1

Paysandu PA 3

Portuguesa RJ 1

TBD -

Vasco -

Manaus FC 0

Londrina 1

Operario-PR 2

Capital 0

TBD -

Fluminense -

Athletico-PR -

TBD -

Porto Velho 0

Atletico GO 1

Ponte Preta 1

Guarany de Bage 0

Flamengo RJ -

TBD -

Vitoria -

Palmeiras -

TBD -

Santa Catarina 0

Jacuipense 1

Mixto 0

Novorizontino 3

Castanhal 0

Nova Iguacu 4

Manauara 0

Fortaleza 1

Sousa 0

CRB 2

Amazonas 0

Figueirense 1

Santos -

TBD -

Coritiba -

Bahia -

TBD -

Remo -

1/32-finals

Sport Recife 1

Athletic Club 3

TBD -

Internacional -

Volta Redonda 0

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1

TBD -

Corinthians -

Bragantino -

TBD -

Mirassol -

Gremio -

TBD -

Vila Nova FC 0

Confianca 1

Botafogo RJ -

TBD -

Chapecoense-SC -

Maringa FC 0

Goias 1

TBD -

Cruzeiro -

Atletico-MG -

TBD -

Sao Bernardo 0

Ceara 1

Sao Paulo -

TBD -

EC Juventude 3

Aguia De Maraba 0

Portuguesa 2

Paysandu PA 3

TBD -

Vasco -

Londrina 0

Operario-PR 1

TBD -

Fluminense -

Athletico-PR -

TBD -

Atletico GO 1

Ponte Preta 0

Flamengo RJ -

TBD -

Vitoria -

Palmeiras -

TBD -

Jacuipense 1

Novorizontino 0

Nova Iguacu 0

Fortaleza 1

CRB 1

Figueirense 0

Santos -

TBD -

Coritiba -

Bahia -

TBD -

Remo -

1/16-finals

Athletic Club 3

Internacional 5

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 0

Corinthians 2

Bragantino 2

Mirassol 3

Gremio 5

Confianca 0

Botafogo RJ 1

Chapecoense-SC 2

Goias 2

Cruzeiro 3

Atletico-MG 4

Ceara 3

Sao Paulo 2

EC Juventude 3

Paysandu PA 2

Vasco 4

Operario-PR 1

Fluminense 2

Athletico-PR 1

Atletico GO 0

Flamengo RJ 2

Vitoria 3

Palmeiras 7

Jacuipense 1

Fortaleza 2

CRB 1

Santos 2

Coritiba 0

Bahia 2

Remo 5

1/8-finals

Internacional 3

Corinthians 2

Mirassol 1

Gremio 2

Chapecoense-SC 0

Cruzeiro 2

Atletico-MG 1

EC Juventude 0

Vasco 3

Fluminense 1

Athletico-PR 2

Vitoria 4

Palmeiras 5

Fortaleza 3

Santos 1

Remo 0

Quarter-finals

Internacional 1

Gremio 3

Cruzeiro 2

Atletico-MG 3

Vasco 3

Vitoria 0

Palmeiras 3

Santos 0

Semi-finals

Gremio 2

Atletico-MG 0

Vasco 0

Palmeiras 1

Final

TBD -

Vasco vs Palmeiras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Vasco

Palmeiras

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco

Palmeiras

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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