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Vasco W vs Itabirito W

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Brasileiro A2 Women
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Match Events

5' Event
48' Event
80' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Vasco W
20%
Draws
32%
Itabirito W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasco W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Vasco W taking it.
  • Vasco W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Itabirito W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vasco W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Vasco W Clean Sheet 15%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco W Itabirito W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 19
Draws 3 6
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.9 2
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Vasco W vs Itabirito W
1:2
Sep 13, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itabirito W vs Vasco W
1:3
Apr 4, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itabirito W vs Vasco W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco W 84 / 100
Itabirito W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco W Itabirito W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Vasco W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Itabirito W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasco W VS Itabirito W
2.63 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco W

(Home)
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
08 Sept
Vasco W
4 : 0
Atletico-PI W
29 Aug
Atletico-PI W
1 : 4
Vasco W
22 Aug
Vasco W
2 : 1
Taubate W
Page 1 of 6

Itabirito W

(Away)
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
06 Sept
Itabirito W
4 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Vasco W 4
Taubate W 1
Atletico-PI W 5
3B da Amazonia W 1
Itabirito W 3
Sport Recife W 0
Minas Brasilia W 2
Acao W 0
Semi-finals
Vasco W 8
Atletico-PI W 1
Itabirito W 5
Minas Brasilia W 2
Final
Vasco W 4
Itabirito W 3