Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasteras SK vs Degerfors

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Igonen M.
8' Event
Ladefoged M.
(Penalty)
33'
Taranis A.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Vasteras SK and Degerfors finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasteras SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Vasteras SK
15%
Draws
20%
Degerfors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasteras SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Vasteras SK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vasteras SK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 16%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasteras SK Degerfors
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.7 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs Degerfors
2:0
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Vasteras SK vs Degerfors
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Degerfors vs Vasteras SK
1:0
Jul 15, 2024 Club Friendly
Degerfors vs Vasteras SK
3:1
Apr 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Degerfors vs Vasteras SK
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasteras SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunnarsson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Degerfors Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasteras SK 84 / 100
Degerfors 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasteras SK Degerfors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasteras SK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Degerfors let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Vasteras SK found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vasteras SK stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasteras SK VS Degerfors
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasteras SK

(Home)
19 Sept
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Malmo FF
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
05 Sept
Vasteras SK
0 : 1
Sirius
29 Aug
Hacken
1 : 3
Vasteras SK
23 Aug
Vasteras SK
0 : 0
Kalmar
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Degerfors

(Away)
20 Sept
Degerfors
0 : 1
Hammarby
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Degerfors
2 : 0
Halmstad
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
23 Aug
Brommapojkarna
2 : 0
Degerfors
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)