Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasteras SK vs Gefle

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ljungqvist M.
11' Event
Seidouvy N.
36' Event
Abdi M.

AI Match Summary

Vasteras SK in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vasteras SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vasteras SK
20%
Draws
33%
Gefle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasteras SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vasteras SK lately — more wins on the board than Gefle.
  • Model gives Vasteras SK a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vasteras SK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 16%
Gefle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasteras SK Gefle
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Vasteras SK vs Gefle
4:0
Jul 30, 2023 Superettan
Vasteras SK vs Gefle
1:0
May 6, 2023 Superettan
Gefle vs Vasteras SK
0:3
Feb 29, 2012 Club Friendly
Gefle vs Vasteras SK
0:1
Oct 11, 2004 Superettan
Vasteras SK vs Gefle
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasteras SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdi M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ljungqvist M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gefle Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasteras SK 75 / 100
Gefle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasteras SK Gefle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasteras SK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gefle let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Vasteras SK found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vasteras SK remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasteras SK VS Gefle
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasteras SK

(Home)
19 Sept
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Malmo FF
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
05 Sept
Vasteras SK
0 : 1
Sirius
29 Aug
Hacken
1 : 3
Vasteras SK
23 Aug
Vasteras SK
0 : 0
Kalmar
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Gefle

(Away)
20 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 1
Gefle
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
05 Sept
Sollentuna
1 : 0
Gefle
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2
Karlstad
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