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Vasteras SK vs Malmo FF

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vasteras SK host Malmo FF in the Allsvenskan. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Vasteras SK at 1.69 goals for, 1.62 against; Malmo FF at 1.86 for, 1.43 against. Past meetings favor Vasteras SK slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.56, favoring Malmo FF. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vasteras SK
20%
Draws
40%
Malmo FF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Vasteras SK haven't matched Malmo FF's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Vasteras SK taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 15%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasteras SK Malmo FF
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Vasteras SK
2:3
Mar 2, 2025 Svenska Cupen
Malmo FF vs Vasteras SK
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs Malmo FF
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Vasteras SK
1:0
Feb 21, 2021 Svenska Cupen
Malmo FF vs Vasteras SK
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasteras SK 41 / 100
Malmo FF 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasteras SK Malmo FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasteras SK scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Malmo FF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Vasteras SK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasteras SK VS Malmo FF
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasteras SK

(Home)
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
05 Sept
Vasteras SK
0 : 1
Sirius
29 Aug
Hacken
1 : 3
Vasteras SK
23 Aug
Vasteras SK
0 : 0
Kalmar
19 Aug
Enkopings SK
1 : 2
Vasteras SK
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Malmo FF

(Away)
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
27 Aug
Lindo FF
1 : 5
Malmo FF
24 Aug
Malmo FF
0 : 3
Djurgarden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 21 15 3 3 50:27 48
2 Djurgarden 21 13 2 6 46:19 41
3 Hammarby 21 12 4 5 48:20 40
4 Elfsborg 21 9 7 5 29:21 34
5 Malmo FF 21 10 3 8 37:31 33
6 Hacken 21 8 9 4 34:30 33
7 AIK 20 9 5 6 29:31 32
8 Vasteras SK 21 9 5 7 32:35 32
9 IFK Goteborg 21 8 5 8 30:41 29
10 GAIS 21 7 6 8 25:20 27
11 Brommapojkarna 21 7 6 8 30:35 27
12 Mjallby 20 5 6 9 26:34 21
13 Kalmar 21 5 4 12 21:31 19
14 Degerfors 21 5 4 12 19:33 19
15 Orgryte 21 3 6 12 24:47 15
16 Halmstad 21 2 5 14 14:39 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)