Sport Picks
Vasteras SK vs Malmo FF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Sweden
Allsvenskan Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras 
Match Events
14'
14'
Axel T.
39'
39'
Gunnarsson K.
46'
46'
Sub
Rosengren O. In: Lahdo M.
Out: Rosengren O.
AI Match Summary
Vasteras SK in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vasteras SK.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasteras SK
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Malmo FF at 1.71 per game, Vasteras SK at 1.46.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on Vasteras SK taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 20%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vasteras SK | Malmo FF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs Malmo FF
2:0
May 24, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Vasteras SK
2:3
Mar 2, 2025 Svenska Cupen
Malmo FF vs Vasteras SK
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs Malmo FF
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Vasteras SK
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vasteras SK Compare
Top Goalscorer Axel T.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Malmo FF Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vasteras SK 40 / 100
Malmo FF 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vasteras SK Malmo FF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vasteras SK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vasteras SK scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Malmo FF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Vasteras SK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vasteras SK VS Malmo FF
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vasteras SK
(Home) 01 Nov
Vasteras SK
1 : 0 Brommapojkarna
28 Oct
Degerfors
0 : 3 Vasteras SK
23 Oct
Vasteras SK
1 : 2 Halmstad
18 Oct
Vasteras SK
1 : 0 Mjallby
09 Oct
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0 Vasteras SK
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Vasteras SK
1 : 0 Brommapojkarna
23 Oct
Vasteras SK
1 : 2 Halmstad
18 Oct
Vasteras SK
1 : 0 Mjallby
19 Sept
Vasteras SK
2 : 0 Malmo FF
05 Sept
Vasteras SK
0 : 1 Sirius
Page 1 of 3
Malmo FF
(Away) 01 Nov
Malmo FF
1 : 2 Hammarby
28 Oct
Halmstad
0 : 3 Malmo FF
23 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 0 Malmo FF
18 Oct
Malmo FF
0 : 1 Hacken
12 Oct
Malmo FF
1 : 0 Kalmar
Page 1 of 6
28 Oct
Halmstad
0 : 3 Malmo FF
23 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 0 Malmo FF
19 Sept
Vasteras SK
2 : 0 Malmo FF
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1 Malmo FF
27 Aug
Lindo FF
1 : 5 Malmo FF
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 3 | Djurgarden | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 | Hacken | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 | Elfsborg | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 | Vasteras SK | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 | AIK | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 | IFK Goteborg | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 | GAIS | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 | Mjallby | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 | Kalmar | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 | Orgryte | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)
