Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasteras SK vs Sirius

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vasteras SK host Sirius in the Allsvenskan. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Vasteras SK at 1.6 goals for, 1.57 against; Sirius at 2.54 for, 1.39 against. Head-to-head, Vasteras SK have won 1 to Sirius's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.81, favoring Sirius. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vasteras SK
20%
Draws
33%
Sirius
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasteras SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sirius lately — more wins on the board than Vasteras SK.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 11%
Sirius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasteras SK Sirius
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 19
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.6 2.54
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Vasteras SK
4:1
Aug 31, 2024 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs Sirius
1:2
Jul 1, 2024 Club Friendly
Vasteras SK vs Sirius
0:0
May 20, 2024 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Vasteras SK
0:0
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Sirius vs Vasteras SK
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasteras SK 29 / 100
Sirius 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasteras SK Sirius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasteras SK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasteras SK scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Sirius has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Vasteras SK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasteras SK VS Sirius
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasteras SK

(Home)
29 Aug
Hacken
1 : 3
Vasteras SK
23 Aug
Vasteras SK
0 : 0
Kalmar
19 Aug
Enkopings SK
1 : 2
Vasteras SK
14 Aug
Elfsborg
3 : 0
Vasteras SK
10 Aug
Vasteras SK
1 : 0
Djurgarden
Page 1 of 6

Sirius

(Away)
26 Aug
Friska Viljor
0 : 2
Sirius
21 Aug
Sirius
0 : 3
Hacken
15 Aug
Mjallby
4 : 3
Sirius
10 Aug
Sirius
2 : 2
Brommapojkarna
03 Aug
Halmstad
0 : 2
Sirius
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 18 13 3 2 47:26 42
2 Hammarby 18 11 3 4 42:15 36
3 Hacken 18 8 7 3 32:26 31
4 Djurgarden 17 9 2 6 37:19 29
5 Elfsborg 18 7 7 4 25:19 28
6 AIK 17 8 4 5 25:25 28
7 Malmo FF 18 8 2 8 32:30 26
8 Vasteras SK 18 7 5 6 25:32 26
9 Brommapojkarna 18 6 6 6 27:27 24
10 GAIS 18 6 5 7 21:18 23
11 Mjallby 16 5 5 6 24:23 20
12 IFK Goteborg 18 5 5 8 23:39 20
13 Kalmar 18 5 4 9 21:28 19
14 Degerfors 18 4 4 10 17:29 16
15 Orgryte 18 3 5 10 22:41 14
16 Halmstad 18 1 5 12 12:35 8
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)