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Vasteras SK vs Sirius - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Axel T.
44'
Bonde P.
51' Event
Uneken J.

AI Match Summary

Sirius in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sirius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Vasteras SK
15%
Draws
37%
Sirius
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasteras SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sirius lately — more wins on the board than Vasteras SK.
  • Vasteras SK are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 20%
Sirius Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasteras SK Sirius
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.48 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs Sirius
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Vasteras SK
4:1
Aug 31, 2024 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs Sirius
1:2
Jul 1, 2024 Club Friendly
Vasteras SK vs Sirius
0:0
May 20, 2024 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Vasteras SK
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasteras SK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sirius Compare

Top Goalscorer Uneken J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasteras SK 58 / 100
Sirius 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasteras SK Sirius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasteras SK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasteras SK scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Sirius has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Vasteras SK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasteras SK VS Sirius
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasteras SK

(Home)
01 Nov
Vasteras SK
1 : 0
Brommapojkarna
28 Oct
Degerfors
0 : 3
Vasteras SK
23 Oct
Vasteras SK
1 : 2
Halmstad
18 Oct
Vasteras SK
1 : 0
Mjallby
09 Oct
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Vasteras SK
Page 1 of 6

Sirius

(Away)
03 Nov
Sirius
2 : 0
Halmstad
29 Oct
Hammarby
2 : 0
Sirius
24 Oct
Sirius
1 : 2
AIK
18 Oct
Sirius
2 : 2
Elfsborg
10 Oct
GAIS
0 : 1
Sirius
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 27 18 4 5 58:34 58
2 Hammarby 27 17 4 6 56:22 55
3 Djurgarden 27 16 4 7 55:25 52
4 Hacken 27 13 10 4 48:30 49
5 Elfsborg 27 12 10 5 41:27 46
6 Vasteras SK 27 13 5 9 40:38 44
7 Malmo FF 27 12 4 11 42:36 40
8 AIK 27 10 8 9 43:47 38
9 IFK Goteborg 27 10 8 9 36:46 38
10 GAIS 27 10 7 10 34:27 37
11 Brommapojkarna 27 9 7 11 39:44 34
12 Mjallby 27 6 9 12 30:43 27
13 Kalmar 27 6 5 16 23:42 23
14 Degerfors 27 5 5 17 22:46 20
15 Orgryte 27 4 7 16 33:60 19
16 Halmstad 27 4 5 18 18:51 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)