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Vastese vs Calcio Chieti Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Vastese
15%
Draws
53%
Calcio Chieti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calcio Chieti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Calcio Chieti have won more games recently than Vastese.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Vastese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Vastese Clean Sheet 20%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vastese Calcio Chieti
Matches Played 30 45
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 12
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.9 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Calcio Chieti
0:0
Dec 4, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Vastese
0:0
Mar 13, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Vastese
0:0
Oct 31, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Calcio Chieti
0:0
Jan 6, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Vastese
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vastese 36 / 100
Calcio Chieti 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vastese Calcio Chieti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vastese scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Calcio Chieti has conceded goals in 69% of their last 45 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.40 goals per match.

Vastese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vastese VS Calcio Chieti
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vastese

(Home)
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0
Pineto
14 May
Vastese
1 : 2
Termoli
07 May
Pineto
2 : 1
Vastese
30 Apr
Vastese
1 : 0
Nuova Florida
23 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Vastese
Page 1 of 6

Calcio Chieti

(Away)
03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Maceratese
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3
Calcio Chieti
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Giulianova
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0
Unipomezia
02 Apr
Ostiamare
3 : 0
Calcio Chieti
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)