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Vastese vs Pineto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Emili L.
44' Event
Di Nardo A.
53' Event
Maio F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 game between Vastese and Pineto finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pineto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Vastese
15%
Draws
34%
Pineto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vastese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Pineto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vastese are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vastese Clean Sheet 20%
Pineto Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vastese Pineto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Vastese vs Pineto
1:0
May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs Vastese
2:1
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Pineto
1:4
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Pineto
2:0
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs Vastese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vastese Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Nardo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Pineto Compare

Top Goalscorer Emili L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maio F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vastese 36 / 100
Pineto 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vastese Pineto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pineto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Vastese's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Pineto registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vastese VS Pineto
1 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vastese

(Home)
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0
Pineto
14 May
Vastese
1 : 2
Termoli
07 May
Pineto
2 : 1
Vastese
30 Apr
Vastese
1 : 0
Nuova Florida
23 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Vastese
Page 1 of 6

Pineto

(Away)
14 Aug
Pineto
1 : 2
Gubbio
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0
Pineto
08 Aug
Pineto
1 : 1
Atletico Ascoli
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
01 Aug
Pineto
0 : 1
Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)