Sport Picks
Vastogirardi vs Fano Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 
Match Events
22'
22'
Gonzalez S.
30'
30'
Fontana L.
46'
46'
Caon G.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 game between Vastogirardi and Fano finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vastogirardi have managed 0.8 goals a game lately — Fano are scoring more at 1.17.
- Fano are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vastogirardi Clean Sheet 17%
Fano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vastogirardi | Fano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Fano
2:2
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Fano vs Vastogirardi
0:0
Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Fano
0:1
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Fano vs Vastogirardi
1:1
May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Fano vs Vastogirardi
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vastogirardi Compare
Top Goalscorer Fontana L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Caon G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Fano Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vastogirardi 23 / 100
Fano 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vastogirardi Fano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fano has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Vastogirardi scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Vastogirardi stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vastogirardi VS Fano
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Vastogirardi
(Home) 05 May
Roma City
4 : 2 Vastogirardi
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4 Tivoli Calcio
21 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 2 Vastogirardi
14 Apr
Vastogirardi
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
07 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1 Vastogirardi
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4 Tivoli Calcio
14 Apr
Vastogirardi
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
28 Mar
Vastogirardi
1 : 0 Matese
17 Mar
Vastogirardi
1 : 1 Termoli
03 Mar
Vastogirardi
1 : 0 United Riccione
Page 1 of 3
Fano
(Away) 05 May
Fano
5 : 2 Real Monterotondo
28 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 0 Fano
21 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1 Fano
14 Apr
Fano
1 : 0 Roma City
07 Apr
Tivoli Calcio
2 : 2 Fano
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 0 Fano
21 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1 Fano
07 Apr
Tivoli Calcio
2 : 2 Fano
24 Mar
Vigor Senigallia
5 : 1 Fano
10 Mar
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0 Fano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campobasso | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 55:29 | 70 |
| 2 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 40:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Avezzano | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 50:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 57:36 | 58 |
| 5 | Roma City | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:37 | 52 |
| 6 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 39:33 | 50 |
| 7 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57:50 | 49 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 35:34 | 48 |
| 9 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 37:38 | 45 |
| 10 | Termoli | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 30:36 | 43 |
| 11 | Fossombrone | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 28:28 | 41 |
| 12 | AS Sora | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 37:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 42:60 | 41 |
| 14 | Tivoli Calcio | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:55 | 37 |
| 15 | United Riccione | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 48:51 | 37 |
| 16 | Fano | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35:49 | 32 |
| 17 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | 29 |
| 18 | Matese | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 20:51 | 26 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)
