Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024

United Riccione

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vastogirardi play United Riccione in the Serie D - Group F 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vastogirardi averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. United Riccione averaged 0.66 goals scored and 2.06 conceded. In past meetings, Vastogirardi won 1, United Riccione won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 3, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Vastogirardi and 0.74 for United Riccione. This points to a Vastogirardi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Vastogirardi

23%

Draws

34%

United Riccione

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Vastogirardi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Vastogirardi picked up more points recently compared to United Riccione.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 0.74 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Vastogirardi Clean Sheet 27%

United Riccione Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vastogirardi	United Riccione
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	6	5
Draws	7	7
Losses	17	20
Goals Scored	0.8	0.66
Goals Conceded	1.47	2.06

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group F

Vastogirardi vs United Riccione

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Oct 28, 2023 Serie D - Group F

United Riccione vs Vastogirardi

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vastogirardi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

United Riccione Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vastogirardi 44 / 100

United Riccione 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vastogirardi United Riccione

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vastogirardi or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vastogirardi attacking → ← attacking United Riccione

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vastogirardi scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

United Riccione let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Vastogirardi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

United Riccione lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 22

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Campobasso	34	20	10	4	55:29	70
2	Aquila Calcio	34	20	8	6	40:22	68
3	Avezzano	34	17	8	9	50:33	59
4	Sambenedettese	34	15	13	6	57:36	58
5	Roma City	34	14	10	10	56:37	52
6	Atletico Ascoli	34	12	14	8	39:33	50
7	Vigor Senigallia	34	13	10	11	57:50	49
8	Calcio Chieti	34	12	12	10	35:34	48
9	Notaresco Calcio	34	11	12	11	37:38	45
10	Termoli	34	11	10	13	30:36	43
11	Fossombrone	34	8	17	9	28:28	41
12	AS Sora	34	10	11	13	37:37	41
13	Real Monterotondo	34	12	5	17	42:60	41
14	Tivoli Calcio	34	10	7	17	38:55	37
15	United Riccione	34	10	7	17	48:51	37
16	Fano	34	6	14	14	35:49	32
17	Vastogirardi	34	7	8	19	26:51	29
18	Matese	34	6	8	20	20:51	26