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Stadium Background

Vatan Bremen vs ESC Geestemunde

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Bremen matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vatan Bremen
15%
Draws
46%
ESC Geestemunde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ESC Geestemunde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • ESC Geestemunde average 2.06 goals a game right now, well clear of Vatan Bremen's 1.84.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Vatan Bremen taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Bremen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Vatan Bremen Clean Sheet 10%
ESC Geestemunde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vatan Bremen ESC Geestemunde
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.84 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.84 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Vatan Bremen vs ESC Geestemunde
3:3
Dec 7, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Vatan Bremen
2:3
Aug 13, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Vatan Bremen vs ESC Geestemunde
4:1
Mar 9, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Vatan Bremen
3:3
Sep 22, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Vatan Bremen vs ESC Geestemunde
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vatan Bremen 40 / 100
ESC Geestemunde 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vatan Bremen ESC Geestemunde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: ESC Geestemunde conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Vatan Bremen scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Vatan Bremen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vatan Bremen VS ESC Geestemunde
2.88 Goals Scored 2.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Vatan Bremen

(Home)
18 Sept
Oberneuland
0 : 3
Vatan Bremen
13 Sept
Vatan Bremen
0 : 2
Brinkumer
04 Sept
Leher
4 : 0
Vatan Bremen
30 Aug
Vatan Bremen
2 : 3
Grohn
22 Aug
BTS Neustadt
0 : 6
Vatan Bremen
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ESC Geestemunde

(Away)
18 Sept
Leher
2 : 2
ESC Geestemunde
13 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
4 : 3
Grohn
05 Sept
BTS Neustadt
1 : 0
ESC Geestemunde
28 Aug
ESC Geestemunde
5 : 2
Werder Bremen III
23 Aug
Schwachhausen
3 : 2
ESC Geestemunde
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hemelingen 8 7 1 0 31:3 22
2 Blumenthaler 8 7 0 1 31:8 21
3 OSC Bremerhaven 8 6 1 1 33:6 19
4 Brinkumer 7 6 0 1 21:6 18
5 Aumund-Vegesack 8 4 1 3 22:16 13
6 Eiche Horn 7 3 2 2 7:11 11
7 Vatan Bremen 7 3 1 3 19:15 10
8 Grohn 8 3 1 4 13:22 10
9 Union 60 Bremen 7 2 3 2 14:15 9
10 BTS Neustadt 8 3 0 5 14:21 9
11 Schwachhausen 7 3 0 4 9:18 9
12 ESC Geestemunde 7 2 2 3 17:21 8
13 Leher 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
14 Werder Bremen III 8 1 1 6 12:24 4
15 Woltmershausen 8 1 1 6 10:32 4
16 Oberneuland 8 0 2 6 7:33 2
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg (Promotion)