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Vatan Bremen vs Hemelingen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vatan Bremen host Hemelingen in the Oberliga Bremen. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Vatan Bremen at 1.72 goals for, 2.86 against; Hemelingen at 3.63 for, 1.27 against. Past meetings favor Hemelingen slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 7:2. xG projections (1.88 - 3.06) back Hemelingen to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Vatan Bremen
15%
Draws
69%
Hemelingen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hemelingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Hemelingen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Hemelingen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • History favors Hemelingen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vatan Bremen Clean Sheet 10%
Hemelingen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vatan Bremen Hemelingen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 23
Draws 2 1
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.72 3.63
Goals Conceded 2.86 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Hemelingen vs Vatan Bremen
7:2
Nov 28, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Vatan Bremen vs Hemelingen
0:7
Mar 2, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Vatan Bremen vs Hemelingen
0:9
Sep 15, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Hemelingen vs Vatan Bremen
2:2
Mar 13, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Vatan Bremen vs Hemelingen
1:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vatan Bremen 10 / 100
Hemelingen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vatan Bremen Hemelingen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hemelingen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.20 goals per match.

Vatan Bremen's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hemelingen has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Vatan Bremen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vatan Bremen VS Hemelingen
2.38 Goals Scored 3.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Vatan Bremen

(Home)
27 Sept
Vatan Bremen
0 : 3
Union 60 Bremen
18 Sept
Oberneuland
0 : 3
Vatan Bremen
13 Sept
Vatan Bremen
0 : 2
Brinkumer
04 Sept
Leher
4 : 0
Vatan Bremen
30 Aug
Vatan Bremen
2 : 3
Grohn
Page 1 of 6

Hemelingen

(Away)
26 Sept
Aumund-Vegesack
1 : 1
Hemelingen
23 Sept
Oberneuland
0 : 6
Hemelingen
20 Sept
Hemelingen
4 : 0
Eiche Horn
13 Sept
Hemelingen
5 : 0
Schwachhausen
05 Sept
Woltmershausen
1 : 3
Hemelingen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hemelingen 8 7 1 0 31:3 22
2 Blumenthaler 8 7 0 1 31:8 21
3 OSC Bremerhaven 8 6 1 1 33:6 19
4 Brinkumer 8 6 1 1 24:9 19
5 Aumund-Vegesack 8 4 1 3 22:16 13
6 Union 60 Bremen 8 3 3 2 17:15 12
7 ESC Geestemunde 9 3 3 3 25:25 12
8 Eiche Horn 8 3 3 2 8:12 12
9 Vatan Bremen 8 3 1 4 19:18 10
10 Grohn 8 3 1 4 13:22 10
11 Schwachhausen 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
12 BTS Neustadt 9 3 0 6 15:28 9
13 Leher 9 2 2 5 15:18 8
14 Werder Bremen III 8 1 1 6 12:24 4
15 Woltmershausen 8 1 1 6 10:32 4
16 Oberneuland 9 0 2 7 8:38 2
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg (Promotion)