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Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg vs 1. FC Sand

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2021/2022 game between Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg and 1. FC Sand finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
6%
Draws
4%
1. FC Sand
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 20%
1. FC Sand Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg 1. FC Sand
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.25 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg vs 1. FC Sand
3:1
Oct 2, 2021 Oberliga Bayern Nord
1. FC Sand vs Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg 85 / 100
1. FC Sand 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg 1. FC Sand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1. FC Sand has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg VS 1. FC Sand
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg

(Home)
28 May
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
2 : 3
TuS Rollbach
25 May
TuS Rollbach
2 : 2
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
21 May
Grossbardorf
1 : 2
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
14 May
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
2 : 1
SV Seligenporten
07 May
Bayern Hof
0 : 0
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
Page 1 of 6

1. FC Sand

(Away)
21 May
1. FC Sand
6 : 2
ASV Neumarkt
14 May
Karlburg
2 : 1
1. FC Sand
07 May
1. FC Sand
0 : 7
Vilzing
04 May
1. FC Sand
0 : 1
Gebenbach
30 Apr
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
3 : 1
1. FC Sand
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vilzing34263589:2681
2Ansbach34263589:3281
3ATSV Erlangen34233877:4072
4Bamberg34215882:3568
5ASV Neumarkt341941170:5161
6DJK Don Bosco Bamberg341751268:5956
7Gebenbach341571274:6352
8DJK Ammerthal341641469:7152
9Abtswind341631549:5451
10Feucht341551457:4650
11Grossbardorf341351656:6044
12Bayern Hof341161755:6939
13Cham34952046:7632
14Wurzburger FV34871944:7031
15Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg34871936:7131
16Karlburg346121624:5530
17SV Seligenporten34632540:9621
181. FC Sand34552430:8120
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2021/2022 (Relegation)