Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vatnaliljur vs IH Hafnarfjordur

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Solbergsson A. T.
67' Event
Piekarski K.
78' Event
Olafsson K.

AI Match Summary

IH Hafnarfjordur in this Icelandic Cup 2021 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vatnaliljur
6%
Draws
90%
IH Hafnarfjordur
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: IH Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • IH Hafnarfjordur have won more games recently than Vatnaliljur.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on IH Hafnarfjordur taking it.
  • IH Hafnarfjordur arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor IH Hafnarfjordur, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Vatnaliljur Clean Sheet 10%
IH Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vatnaliljur IH Hafnarfjordur
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 3 14
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 7 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 7.00 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2021 Icelandic Cup
Vatnaliljur vs IH Hafnarfjordur
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vatnaliljur Compare

Top Goalscorer Piekarski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ingason A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

IH Hafnarfjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Solbergsson A. T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olafsson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vatnaliljur 10 / 100
IH Hafnarfjordur 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vatnaliljur IH Hafnarfjordur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IHH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: IH Hafnarfjordur conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Vatnaliljur found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (12 games).

Difficult form: IH Hafnarfjordur registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vatnaliljur VS IH Hafnarfjordur
1 Goals Scored 1.38
7 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vatnaliljur

(Home)
25 Apr
Vatnaliljur
2 : 3
IH Hafnarfjordur
06 Jun
Vatnaliljur
0 : 12
Afturelding
14 Apr
Ulfarnir
6 : 1
Vatnaliljur
12 Apr
Grotta
9 : 0
Vatnaliljur
29 Apr
Fylkir
7 : 0
Vatnaliljur
Page 1 of 3

IH Hafnarfjordur

(Away)
21 Mar
KFR
:
IH Hafnarfjordur
10 Apr
IH Hafnarfjordur
2 : 5
Selfoss
29 Mar
IH Hafnarfjordur
4 : 1
KH Hlidarendi
17 May
Fram
3 : 0
IH Hafnarfjordur
25 Apr
IH Hafnarfjordur
4 : 2
Hafnir
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Midas0
Augnablik12
Aegir4
IBU0
Fjolnir-
TBD-
Bjorninn0
KA Asvellir3
KFG Gardabaer0
Alftanes2
Ellidi2
IR Reykjavik3
Selfoss0
Kordrengir1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar4
Reynir1
Akranes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lettir1
Vidir2
Fram8
Hordur Isafjordur0
Hafnarfjordur-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Alafoss2
GG Grindavik1
Njardvik3
KH Hlidarendi0
Kopavogur-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KV Reykjavik1
Throttur Vogar3
TBD-
Grotta-
Berserkir5
KFS6
Kria13
Afrika Reykjavik1
KB Breidholt1
Throttur6
Olafsvik18
Gullfalkinn0
Keflavik-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Breidablik-
Stjarnan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KA Akureyri-
Reynir Hellissandur0
Afturelding2
SR Reykjavik1
RB Keflavik0
Hamar0
Vestri3
Ymir1
KFR2
Thor Akureyri-
TBD-
TBD-
Magni-
Smari1
Grindavik4
Hviti4
Arborg1
Valur-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leiknir Reykjavik-
Tindastoll0
Volsungur2
Kormakur/Hvot2
Hamrarnir3
Leiknir Faskruds-
TBD-
Hottur / Huginn7
Einherji1
Fylkir-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vatnaliljur2
IH Hafnarfjordur3
Ulfarnir2
Isbjorninn0
Dalvik/Reynir7
Samherjar1
TBD-
Fjallabyggd-
KFB0
Stokkseyri5
KM Reykjavik0
Haukar4
Vikingur Reykjavik-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fjardabyggd-
TBD-
TBD-
Sindri-
Kari-
Vaengirs-
Snaefell1
Skallagrimur5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KR Reykjavik-
1/32-finals
Augnablik4
Aegir0
Fjolnir7
KA Asvellir1
Alftanes0
IR Reykjavik2
Kordrengir3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar4
Akranes-
TBD-
Vidir0
Fram2
Hafnarfjordur-
TBD-
Alafoss0
Njardvik5
Kopavogur-
TBD-
Throttur Vogar1
Grotta3
KFS4
Kria0
Throttur1
Olafsvik3
Keflavik-
TBD-
TBD-
Breidablik-
Stjarnan-
TBD-
TBD-
KA Akureyri-
Afturelding8
SR Reykjavik0
Vestri1
KFR0
Thor Akureyri3
Magni0
Grindavik3
Hviti0
Valur-
TBD-
TBD-
Leiknir Reykjavik-
Volsungur9
Hamrarnir1
Leiknir Faskruds3
Hottur / Huginn0
Fylkir-
TBD-
IH Hafnarfjordur0
Ulfarnir3
Dalvik/Reynir2
Fjallabyggd3
Stokkseyri0
Haukar7
Vikingur Reykjavik-
TBD-
Fjardabyggd0
Sindri2
Kari5
Skallagrimur1
TBD-
KR Reykjavik-
1/16-finals
Augnablik1
Fjolnir4
IR Reykjavik3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar0
Akranes3
Fram0
Hafnarfjordur4
Njardvik1
Kopavogur2
Grotta1
KFS4
Olafsvik2
Keflavik2
Breidablik0
Stjarnan1
KA Akureyri2
Afturelding1
Vestri2
Thor Akureyri2
Grindavik1
Valur2
Leiknir Reykjavik0
Volsungur2
Leiknir Faskruds1
Fylkir7
Ulfarnir0
Fjallabyggd1
Haukar2
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Sindri0
Kari1
KR Reykjavik2
1/8-finals
Fjolnir2
IR Reykjavik3
Akranes1
Hafnarfjordur0
Kopavogur7
KFS1
Keflavik3
KA Akureyri1
Vestri4
Thor Akureyri0
Valur6
Volsungur0
Fylkir2
Haukar1
Vikingur Reykjavik3
KR Reykjavik1
Quarter-finals
IR Reykjavik1
Akranes3
Kopavogur3
Keflavik5
Vestri2
Valur1
Fylkir0
Vikingur Reykjavik1
Semi-finals
Akranes2
Keflavik0
Vestri0
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Final
Akranes0
Vikingur Reykjavik3