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Stadium Background

Vaxjo DFF W vs Hammarby W

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Women Spiris Arena, Växjö
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Peterson F.
Assist: Curmark F.
46'
Sub
Persson Welin T. In: Andersson T.
Out: Persson Welin T.
61'
Sub
Janzen M. In: Lennartsson S.
Out: Janzen M.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan Women game between Vaxjo DFF W and Hammarby W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hammarby W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Vaxjo DFF W
15%
Draws
64%
Hammarby W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hammarby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hammarby W come out ahead of Vaxjo DFF W on wins alone.
  • Hammarby W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hammarby W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Vaxjo DFF W Clean Sheet 10%
Hammarby W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaxjo DFF W Hammarby W
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 9 25
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.42 2.41
Goals Conceded 2.06 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Vaxjo DFF W vs Hammarby W
0:3
Jul 31, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Hammarby W vs Vaxjo DFF W
5:0
Mar 12, 2026 Svenska Cupen Women
Hammarby W vs Vaxjo DFF W
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Vaxjo DFF W vs Hammarby W
0:7
Mar 23, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Hammarby W vs Vaxjo DFF W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaxjo DFF W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Hammarby W Compare

Top Goalscorer Peterson F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sorum E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaxjo DFF W 10 / 100
Hammarby W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaxjo DFF W Hammarby W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Vaxjo DFF W found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Hammarby W has conceded goals in 41% of their last 34 outings.

Vaxjo DFF W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vaxjo DFF W VS Hammarby W
0.88 Goals Scored 3.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaxjo DFF W

(Home)
19 Sept
Vittsjo W
2 : 2
Vaxjo DFF W
13 Sept
Vaxjo DFF W
0 : 3
Hammarby W
05 Sept
Pitea W
2 : 0
Vaxjo DFF W
29 Aug
Vaxjo DFF W
0 : 4
Malmo FF W
22 Aug
Eskilstuna United W
0 : 1
Vaxjo DFF W
Page 1 of 7

Hammarby W

(Away)
19 Sept
AIK W
2 : 1
Hammarby W
13 Sept
Vaxjo DFF W
0 : 3
Hammarby W
09 Sept
Hammarby W
5 : 0
Gamla Upsala W
05 Sept
Hammarby W
2 : 0
Norrkoping W
29 Aug
Hammarby W
3 : 1
Vittsjo W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hacken W 19 17 1 1 55:13 52
2 Hammarby W 19 15 2 2 46:10 47
3 Malmo FF W 19 10 6 3 38:11 36
4 AIK W 19 9 4 6 26:27 31
5 Kristianstad W 18 8 4 6 30:27 28
6 Eskilstuna United W 19 8 3 8 18:22 27
7 Vittsjo W 19 7 5 7 24:25 26
8 IF Brommapojkarna W 19 8 2 9 25:33 26
9 Pitea W 18 6 4 8 21:26 22
10 Djurgarden W 19 5 3 11 21:32 18
11 Vaxjo DFF W 19 5 3 11 23:37 18
12 Rosengard W 18 4 5 9 19:23 17
13 Norrkoping W 18 2 7 9 15:28 13
14 IK Uppsala Fotboll W 19 1 3 15 13:60 6
Relegation - Allsvenskan Women (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Elitettan Women 2027 (Main)