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Vaxjo Norra vs Karlskrona Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Lind V.
59' Event
Culum E.
86' Event
Alhadi M.

AI Match Summary

Vaxjo Norra in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaxjo Norra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vaxjo Norra
30%
Draws
44%
Karlskrona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karlskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Vaxjo Norra haven't matched Karlskrona's recent run of results.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Karlskrona taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Karlskrona here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 10%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaxjo Norra Karlskrona
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 19
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.55 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Vaxjo Norra
5:0
Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Karlskrona
4:0
Oct 6, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Vaxjo Norra
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Karlskrona
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaxjo Norra Compare

Top Goalscorer Lind V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Culum E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Karlskrona Compare

Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaxjo Norra 18 / 100
Karlskrona 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaxjo Norra Karlskrona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlskrona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Vaxjo Norra has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Vaxjo Norra scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Karlskrona has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vaxjo Norra VS Karlskrona
1.38 Goals Scored 3.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaxjo Norra

(Home)
25 Sept
Rappe GOIF
1 : 1
Vaxjo Norra
20 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 0
Nosaby IF
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
05 Sept
Torns
1 : 3
Vaxjo Norra
30 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
3 : 0
Osterlen FF
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Karlskrona

(Away)
26 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 4
Karlskrona
19 Sept
Karlskrona
2 : 0
Oskarshamn
12 Sept
Solvesborgs
0 : 2
Karlskrona
06 Sept
Staffanstorp United
0 : 2
Karlskrona
30 Aug
Karlskrona
4 : 1
IFK Berga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 23 18 3 2 61:20 57
2 IFK Trelleborg 23 14 5 4 49:23 47
3 Oskarshamn 23 13 3 7 58:30 42
4 Linero IF 23 12 2 9 44:39 38
5 IFK Berga 23 11 4 8 49:36 37
6 Nosaby IF 23 10 6 7 42:37 36
7 Vaxjo Norra 23 9 8 6 31:31 35
8 Osterlen FF 23 8 6 9 37:38 30
9 Solvesborgs 23 9 1 13 35:42 28
10 Lilla Torg 23 6 10 7 31:38 28
11 Staffanstorp United 23 5 8 10 33:41 23
12 Torns 23 7 0 16 31:64 21
13 Rappe GOIF 23 4 6 13 25:51 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 23 3 2 18 24:60 11
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)