Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vaxjo Norra vs Karlskrona

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Lind V.
59' Event
Culum E.
86' Event
Alhadi M.

AI Match Summary

Vaxjo Norra in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaxjo Norra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Vaxjo Norra
33%
Draws
40%
Karlskrona
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Karlskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaxjo Norra haven't matched Karlskrona's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Karlskrona taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Karlskrona here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 16%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaxjo Norra Karlskrona
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Karlskrona
4:0
Oct 6, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Vaxjo Norra
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Karlskrona
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaxjo Norra Compare

Top Goalscorer Lind V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Culum E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Karlskrona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaxjo Norra 28 / 100
Karlskrona 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaxjo Norra Karlskrona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaxjo Norra scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Karlskrona has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Vaxjo Norra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vaxjo Norra VS Karlskrona
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Karlskrona1493228:1630
2Linero IF1481528:1925
3Oskarshamn1473427:1724
4IFK Trelleborg1365219:1123
5Vaxjo Norra1465320:1723
6IFK Berga1463527:1921
7Nosaby IF1355323:2120
8Osterlen FF1453618:2118
9Lilla Torg1446415:2018
10Staffanstorp United1445526:2617
11Solvesborgs1451822:2316
12Torns1450920:3715
13Rappe GOIF1433814:2512
14IFK Karlshamn14211114:297