Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vaxjo Norra vs Lilla Torg

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Charlez Sjoberg B.
61' Event
Culum E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland game between Vaxjo Norra and Lilla Torg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Vaxjo Norra
35%
Draws
32%
Lilla Torg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vaxjo Norra come out ahead of Lilla Torg on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Vaxjo Norra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 10%
Lilla Torg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaxjo Norra Lilla Torg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 13
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Lilla Torg
1:1
May 9, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Lilla Torg vs Vaxjo Norra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaxjo Norra Compare

Top Goalscorer Culum E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Lilla Torg Compare

Top Goalscorer Charlez Sjoberg B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaxjo Norra 40 / 100
Lilla Torg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaxjo Norra Lilla Torg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lilla Torg conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Vaxjo Norra's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Vaxjo Norra went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vaxjo Norra VS Lilla Torg
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaxjo Norra

(Home)
03 Oct
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 2
IFK Karlshamn
25 Sept
Rappe GOIF
1 : 1
Vaxjo Norra
20 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 0
Nosaby IF
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
05 Sept
Torns
1 : 3
Vaxjo Norra
Page 1 of 6

Lilla Torg

(Away)
02 Oct
Lilla Torg
2 : 3
Nosaby IF
27 Sept
Osterlen FF
3 : 3
Lilla Torg
18 Sept
Lilla Torg
2 : 2
Linero IF
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
06 Sept
IFK Berga
1 : 3
Lilla Torg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 24 19 3 2 63:21 60
2 IFK Trelleborg 24 15 5 4 51:23 50
3 Oskarshamn 24 14 3 7 60:30 45
4 IFK Berga 24 12 4 8 52:36 40
5 Nosaby IF 24 11 6 7 45:39 39
6 Linero IF 24 12 2 10 45:41 38
7 Vaxjo Norra 24 9 8 7 31:33 35
8 Osterlen FF 24 8 6 10 37:41 30
9 Lilla Torg 24 6 10 8 33:41 28
10 Solvesborgs 24 9 1 14 35:46 28
11 Staffanstorp United 24 6 8 10 37:41 26
12 Torns 24 7 0 17 31:66 21
13 Rappe GOIF 24 4 6 14 25:53 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 24 4 2 18 26:60 14
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)