Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vaxjo Norra vs Osterlen FF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Culum E.
73' Event
Mawana F.
86' Event
Mawana F.

AI Match Summary

Vaxjo Norra in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaxjo Norra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vaxjo Norra
35%
Draws
25%
Osterlen FF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vaxjo Norra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Vaxjo Norra have won more games recently than Osterlen FF.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Vaxjo Norra have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 10%
Osterlen FF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaxjo Norra Osterlen FF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Osterlen FF
3:0
Apr 11, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Vaxjo Norra
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Osterlen FF
3:0
May 10, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Vaxjo Norra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaxjo Norra Compare

Top Goalscorer Mawana F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Culum E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Osterlen FF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaxjo Norra 30 / 100
Osterlen FF 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaxjo Norra Osterlen FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osterlen FF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Vaxjo Norra scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Vaxjo Norra has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vaxjo Norra VS Osterlen FF
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaxjo Norra

(Home)
20 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 0
Nosaby IF
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
05 Sept
Torns
1 : 3
Vaxjo Norra
30 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
3 : 0
Osterlen FF
25 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 2
Solvesborgs
Page 1 of 6

Osterlen FF

(Away)
18 Sept
Staffanstorp United
2 : 2
Osterlen FF
12 Sept
Osterlen FF
1 : 4
IFK Trelleborg
05 Sept
Osterlen FF
6 : 0
IFK Karlshamn
30 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
3 : 0
Osterlen FF
22 Aug
Rappe GOIF
1 : 1
Osterlen FF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 22 17 3 2 57:19 54
2 IFK Trelleborg 22 13 5 4 45:20 44
3 Oskarshamn 22 13 3 6 55:26 42
4 IFK Berga 22 11 4 7 47:33 37
5 Linero IF 22 11 2 9 39:38 35
6 Vaxjo Norra 22 9 7 6 30:30 34
7 Nosaby IF 22 9 6 7 39:37 33
8 Osterlen FF 22 8 5 9 34:35 29
9 Lilla Torg 22 6 9 7 28:35 27
10 Solvesborgs 22 8 1 13 32:40 25
11 Staffanstorp United 22 5 8 9 33:38 23
12 Torns 22 7 0 15 30:59 21
13 Rappe GOIF 22 4 5 13 24:50 17
14 IFK Karlshamn 22 3 2 17 23:56 11
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)