Sport Picks
Vegalta Sendai vs Iwata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League Yurtec Stadium Sendai, Sendai 
Match Events
2'
2'
Umeki T.
10'
10'
Sato D.
Assist: Danilo Cardoso
21'
21'
Inoue S.
AI Match Summary
The J2 League game between Vegalta Sendai and Iwata finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vegalta Sendai.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vegalta Sendai
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vegalta Sendai carry the better recent record into this one.
- Vegalta Sendai are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Vegalta Sendai Clean Sheet 16%
Iwata Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vegalta Sendai | Iwata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 21 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 J2 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Iwata
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 J2 League
Iwata vs Vegalta Sendai
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 J2 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Iwata
2:3
Aug 6, 2023 J2 League
Iwata vs Vegalta Sendai
4:1
Jun 11, 2023 J2 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Iwata
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vegalta Sendai Compare
Top Goalscorer Umeki T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sagara R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Iwata Compare
Top Goalscorer Sato D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vegalta Sendai 66 / 100
Iwata 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vegalta Sendai Iwata
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vegalta Sendai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vegalta Sendai's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Iwata let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Vegalta Sendai went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vegalta Sendai VS Iwata
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vegalta Sendai
(Home) 04 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1 Iwata
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2 Vegalta Sendai
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
13 Sept
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
09 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1 Iwata
13 Sept
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
29 Aug
Vegalta Sendai
4 : 2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
26 Aug
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 2 Tochigi City
15 Aug
Vegalta Sendai
0 : 0 Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 4
Iwata
(Away) 04 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1 Iwata
29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2 Chiba
26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2 Vanraure
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Iwata
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1 Iwata
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1 Iwata
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Iwata
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1 Iwata
02 Sept
SC Sagamihara
0 : 3 Iwata
29 Aug
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Iwata
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 3 | Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Blaublitz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Tokushima | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 13 | Tochigi City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Iwata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 15 | Vanraure | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5:14 | 10 |
| 16 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 19 | Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 7 |
| 20 | Kofu | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:17 | 7 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
