Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Yurtec Stadium Sendai

Vegalta Sendai

1 - 0

Montedio Yamagata

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Araki S.

46'

Sub

Araki S. In: Kobayashi K.

Out: Araki S.

60'

Takahashi J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Vegalta Sendai and Montedio Yamagata finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vegalta Sendai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Vegalta Sendai

Draws

Montedio Yamagata

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vegalta Sendai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Vegalta Sendai carry the better recent record into this one.
Vegalta Sendai are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Vegalta Sendai have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Vegalta Sendai Clean Sheet 68%

Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vegalta Sendai	Montedio Yamagata
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	24	14
Draws	1	3
Losses	5	13
Goals Scored	2	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 J2/J3 League

Vegalta Sendai vs Montedio Yamagata

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Mar 22, 2026 J2/J3 League

Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Sep 20, 2025 J2 League

Vegalta Sendai vs Montedio Yamagata

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 4 - 3

3:1

Jun 15, 2025 J2 League

Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

3:4

Jun 22, 2024 J2 League

Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vegalta Sendai Compare

Top Goalscorer Minami S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Montedio Yamagata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vegalta Sendai 95 / 100

Montedio Yamagata 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vegalta Sendai Montedio Yamagata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vegalta Sendai's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Montedio Yamagata conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vegalta Sendai stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vegalta Sendai VS Montedio Yamagata

2 Goals Scored 1.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15