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Vegalta Sendai vs Omiya Ardija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Yurtec Stadium Sendai, Sendai
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vegalta Sendai host Omiya Ardija in the J2 League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Vegalta Sendai have averaged 1.79 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Omiya Ardija's 1.76 scored and 1.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Vegalta Sendai have won 1 to Omiya Ardija's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.31) point toward Vegalta Sendai. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Vegalta Sendai
20%
Draws
19%
Omiya Ardija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vegalta Sendai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vegalta Sendai come out ahead of Omiya Ardija on wins alone.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Vegalta Sendai taking it.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Vegalta Sendai Clean Sheet 18%
Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vegalta Sendai Omiya Ardija
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 J2 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Omiya Ardija
1:2
May 10, 2025 J2 League
Omiya Ardija vs Vegalta Sendai
3:0
Aug 19, 2023 J2 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Omiya Ardija
1:0
May 21, 2023 J2 League
Omiya Ardija vs Vegalta Sendai
1:1
Aug 13, 2022 J2 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Omiya Ardija
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vegalta Sendai 85 / 100
Omiya Ardija 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vegalta Sendai Omiya Ardija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vegalta Sendai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vegalta Sendai's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vegalta Sendai has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Omiya Ardija let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Vegalta Sendai VS Omiya Ardija
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vegalta Sendai

(Home)
21 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
3 : 1
Imabari
17 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
0 : 0
Tokushima
11 Oct
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 1
Vegalta Sendai
04 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1
Iwata
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2
Vegalta Sendai
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Omiya Ardija

(Away)
21 Oct
Omiya Ardija
0 : 3
Toyama
17 Oct
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Omiya Ardija
10 Oct
Omiya Ardija
3 : 1
Vanraure
07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2
Omiya Ardija
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 12 8 3 1 21:9 27
2 Albirex Niigata 12 7 2 3 17:20 23
3 Toyama 12 6 4 2 23:11 22
4 Yokohama FC 12 6 3 3 23:14 21
5 Omiya Ardija 12 5 5 2 21:14 20
6 Shonan Bellmare 12 4 7 1 13:11 19
7 Oita Trinita 12 4 6 2 16:9 18
8 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 12 4 5 3 17:16 17
9 Iwaki 12 5 1 6 19:18 16
10 Fujieda MYFC 12 3 6 3 15:13 15
11 Iwata 12 4 3 5 13:14 15
12 Sagan Tosu 12 4 2 6 12:15 14
13 Tokushima 12 4 2 6 10:13 14
14 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
15 Vanraure 12 4 2 6 10:20 14
16 Montedio Yamagata 12 4 1 7 11:11 13
17 Blaublitz 12 3 4 5 13:14 13
18 Tochigi City 12 3 3 6 19:20 12
19 Imabari 12 3 2 7 15:25 11
20 Kofu 12 3 1 8 9:26 10
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