Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Yurtec Stadium Sendai

SC Sagamihara

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vegalta Sendai play SC Sagamihara in the J2/J3 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vegalta Sendai averaged 2.03 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. SC Sagamihara averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Vegalta Sendai won 2, SC Sagamihara won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Vegalta Sendai and 1.50 for SC Sagamihara. This points to a Vegalta Sendai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

Vegalta Sendai

15%

Draws

30%

SC Sagamihara

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vegalta Sendai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Vegalta Sendai picked up more points recently compared to SC Sagamihara.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Vegalta Sendai Clean Sheet 16%

SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vegalta Sendai	SC Sagamihara
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	23	15
Draws	2	2
Losses	5	13
Goals Scored	2.03	1.67
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.7
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 J2/J3 League

SC Sagamihara vs Vegalta Sendai

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

0:3

Mar 14, 2026 J2/J3 League

Vegalta Sendai vs SC Sagamihara

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vegalta Sendai Compare

Top Goalscorer Igarashi S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Takeda H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

SC Sagamihara Compare

Top Goalscorer Sugimoto R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vegalta Sendai 53 / 100

SC Sagamihara 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vegalta Sendai SC Sagamihara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vegalta Sendai Win (1)

Secondary Pick Vegalta Sendai & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.1%

2.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vegalta Sendai attacking → ← attacking SC Sagamihara

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vegalta Sendai scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

SC Sagamihara let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Vegalta Sendai went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

SC Sagamihara lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 47

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15